Stochastic approach to flood damage assessment
Stohastički pristup u određivanju šteta od poplava
Апстракт
This article deals with deterministic and stochastic approaches to assess the expected annual flood damages. Each approach is illustrated by a case study pertaining to floods at different sections of the Tamnava river in Serbia. The objective was to use examples from engineering practice in order to demonstrate how various uncertainties may affect the expected annual damage, and consequently, how to determine the economically optimal degree of flood protection, expressed by the designed height of the levees.
U ovom članku se opisuju deterministički i stohastički pristupi u određivanju očekivane godišnje štete od poplava. Njihova primena se ilustruje proračunima za jednu deonicu reke Tamnave. Namera je da se konkretnim primerom iz prakse ispita u kojoj meri neizvesnost ulaznih podataka utiče na očekivanu godišnju štetu, a preko nje, na ekonomski optimalni stepen zaštite, izražen preko projektne visine odbrambenih nasipa.
Кључне речи:
flood risk / flood damage / uncertainties / Monte Carlo method / levee design / rizik od poplava / šteta od poplava / neizvesnosti / Monte Karlo metoda / dimenzionisanje nasipaИзвор:
Vodoprivreda, 2008, 40, 4-6, 183-189Издавач:
- Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd
Колекције
Институција/група
GraFarTY - JOUR AU - Rosić, Nikola AU - Jovanović, Miodrag PY - 2008 UR - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/180 AB - This article deals with deterministic and stochastic approaches to assess the expected annual flood damages. Each approach is illustrated by a case study pertaining to floods at different sections of the Tamnava river in Serbia. The objective was to use examples from engineering practice in order to demonstrate how various uncertainties may affect the expected annual damage, and consequently, how to determine the economically optimal degree of flood protection, expressed by the designed height of the levees. AB - U ovom članku se opisuju deterministički i stohastički pristupi u određivanju očekivane godišnje štete od poplava. Njihova primena se ilustruje proračunima za jednu deonicu reke Tamnave. Namera je da se konkretnim primerom iz prakse ispita u kojoj meri neizvesnost ulaznih podataka utiče na očekivanu godišnju štetu, a preko nje, na ekonomski optimalni stepen zaštite, izražen preko projektne visine odbrambenih nasipa. PB - Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd T2 - Vodoprivreda T1 - Stochastic approach to flood damage assessment T1 - Stohastički pristup u određivanju šteta od poplava EP - 189 IS - 4-6 SP - 183 VL - 40 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_180 ER -
@article{ author = "Rosić, Nikola and Jovanović, Miodrag", year = "2008", abstract = "This article deals with deterministic and stochastic approaches to assess the expected annual flood damages. Each approach is illustrated by a case study pertaining to floods at different sections of the Tamnava river in Serbia. The objective was to use examples from engineering practice in order to demonstrate how various uncertainties may affect the expected annual damage, and consequently, how to determine the economically optimal degree of flood protection, expressed by the designed height of the levees., U ovom članku se opisuju deterministički i stohastički pristupi u određivanju očekivane godišnje štete od poplava. Njihova primena se ilustruje proračunima za jednu deonicu reke Tamnave. Namera je da se konkretnim primerom iz prakse ispita u kojoj meri neizvesnost ulaznih podataka utiče na očekivanu godišnju štetu, a preko nje, na ekonomski optimalni stepen zaštite, izražen preko projektne visine odbrambenih nasipa.", publisher = "Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd", journal = "Vodoprivreda", title = "Stochastic approach to flood damage assessment, Stohastički pristup u određivanju šteta od poplava", pages = "189-183", number = "4-6", volume = "40", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_180" }
Rosić, N.,& Jovanović, M.. (2008). Stochastic approach to flood damage assessment. in Vodoprivreda Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd., 40(4-6), 183-189. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_180
Rosić N, Jovanović M. Stochastic approach to flood damage assessment. in Vodoprivreda. 2008;40(4-6):183-189. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_180 .
Rosić, Nikola, Jovanović, Miodrag, "Stochastic approach to flood damage assessment" in Vodoprivreda, 40, no. 4-6 (2008):183-189, https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_180 .