A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows
Само за регистроване кориснике
2008
Аутори
Makropoulos, C.Koutsoyiannis, D.
Stanić, Miloš
Đorđević, Slobodan
Prodanović, Dušan
Dašić, Tina
Prohaska, Stevan
Maksimović, Čedo
Wheater, H.
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
The possible effects of water transfer through a tunnel from Fatnicko Polje to Bile a Reservoir on the hydrologic regime of the Bregava River located. in Eastern Herzegovina, in an area characterised by a predominantly karstic terrain, are studied. Three different simulation models of the area were developed and their predictions compared under a range of current and future hydrological and operational management conditions. These are based on a range of modelling approaches from a simplified conceptual approach to a quasi-physically based one. Despite the large complexity of the natural system, the models gave good fits to existing flow data with the most simplified model providing the closest agreement to historical flows. Calibrated models were used to study the possible effects of the intervention under a range of operational scenarios and identify the sources of the associated uncertainties. The results of the work suggest that the system of tunnels in question has a favourable ef...fect in reducing flood hazard in the area, thus liberating scarce land resources for agriculture, and in reducing flows in the Bregava River (especially high flows). It is also suggested that a significant reduction in the uncertainty of modelling the karstic environment can be achieved by an appropriate, complementary combination of modelling approaches viewed as a multi-model ensemble.
Кључне речи:
black-box models / conceptual models / impact assessment / karstic hydrology / multi-modelling / physically based modelsИзвор:
Journal of Hydrology, 2008, 348, 3-4, 412-424
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011
ISSN: 0022-1694
WoS: 000252749000014
Scopus: 2-s2.0-37049009681
Колекције
Институција/група
GraFarTY - JOUR AU - Makropoulos, C. AU - Koutsoyiannis, D. AU - Stanić, Miloš AU - Đorđević, Slobodan AU - Prodanović, Dušan AU - Dašić, Tina AU - Prohaska, Stevan AU - Maksimović, Čedo AU - Wheater, H. PY - 2008 UR - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/192 AB - The possible effects of water transfer through a tunnel from Fatnicko Polje to Bile a Reservoir on the hydrologic regime of the Bregava River located. in Eastern Herzegovina, in an area characterised by a predominantly karstic terrain, are studied. Three different simulation models of the area were developed and their predictions compared under a range of current and future hydrological and operational management conditions. These are based on a range of modelling approaches from a simplified conceptual approach to a quasi-physically based one. Despite the large complexity of the natural system, the models gave good fits to existing flow data with the most simplified model providing the closest agreement to historical flows. Calibrated models were used to study the possible effects of the intervention under a range of operational scenarios and identify the sources of the associated uncertainties. The results of the work suggest that the system of tunnels in question has a favourable effect in reducing flood hazard in the area, thus liberating scarce land resources for agriculture, and in reducing flows in the Bregava River (especially high flows). It is also suggested that a significant reduction in the uncertainty of modelling the karstic environment can be achieved by an appropriate, complementary combination of modelling approaches viewed as a multi-model ensemble. T2 - Journal of Hydrology T1 - A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows EP - 424 IS - 3-4 SP - 412 VL - 348 DO - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011 ER -
@article{ author = "Makropoulos, C. and Koutsoyiannis, D. and Stanić, Miloš and Đorđević, Slobodan and Prodanović, Dušan and Dašić, Tina and Prohaska, Stevan and Maksimović, Čedo and Wheater, H.", year = "2008", abstract = "The possible effects of water transfer through a tunnel from Fatnicko Polje to Bile a Reservoir on the hydrologic regime of the Bregava River located. in Eastern Herzegovina, in an area characterised by a predominantly karstic terrain, are studied. Three different simulation models of the area were developed and their predictions compared under a range of current and future hydrological and operational management conditions. These are based on a range of modelling approaches from a simplified conceptual approach to a quasi-physically based one. Despite the large complexity of the natural system, the models gave good fits to existing flow data with the most simplified model providing the closest agreement to historical flows. Calibrated models were used to study the possible effects of the intervention under a range of operational scenarios and identify the sources of the associated uncertainties. The results of the work suggest that the system of tunnels in question has a favourable effect in reducing flood hazard in the area, thus liberating scarce land resources for agriculture, and in reducing flows in the Bregava River (especially high flows). It is also suggested that a significant reduction in the uncertainty of modelling the karstic environment can be achieved by an appropriate, complementary combination of modelling approaches viewed as a multi-model ensemble.", journal = "Journal of Hydrology", title = "A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows", pages = "424-412", number = "3-4", volume = "348", doi = "10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011" }
Makropoulos, C., Koutsoyiannis, D., Stanić, M., Đorđević, S., Prodanović, D., Dašić, T., Prohaska, S., Maksimović, Č.,& Wheater, H.. (2008). A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows. in Journal of Hydrology, 348(3-4), 412-424. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011
Makropoulos C, Koutsoyiannis D, Stanić M, Đorđević S, Prodanović D, Dašić T, Prohaska S, Maksimović Č, Wheater H. A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows. in Journal of Hydrology. 2008;348(3-4):412-424. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011 .
Makropoulos, C., Koutsoyiannis, D., Stanić, Miloš, Đorđević, Slobodan, Prodanović, Dušan, Dašić, Tina, Prohaska, Stevan, Maksimović, Čedo, Wheater, H., "A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows" in Journal of Hydrology, 348, no. 3-4 (2008):412-424, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011 . .
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