Swedish Research Council (VR) with a starting grant in the domain of Natural and Engineering Sciences (registration number 2017-04970)

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Swedish Research Council (VR) with a starting grant in the domain of Natural and Engineering Sciences (registration number 2017-04970)

Authors

Publications

Uni- and multivariate bias adjustment of climate model simulations in Nordic catchments: Effects on hydrological signatures relevant for water resources management in a changing climate

Tootoonchi, Faranak; Todorović, Andrijana; Grabs, Thomas; Teutschbein, Claudia

(Elsevier, 2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Tootoonchi, Faranak
AU  - Todorović, Andrijana
AU  - Grabs, Thomas
AU  - Teutschbein, Claudia
PY  - 2023
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3141
AB  - Hydrological climate-change-impact studies depend on climatic variables simulated by climate models. Due to parametrization and numerous simplifications, however, climate-model outputs come with systematic biases compared to the observations. In the past decade, several methods of different complexity and dimensionality for adjustment of such biases were introduced, but their benefits for impact studies and accurate streamflow projections are still debated. In this paper, we evaluated the ability of two state-of-the-art, advanced multivariate bias-adjustment methods to accurately reproduce 16 hydrological signatures, and compared their performance against two parsimonious univariate bias-adjustment methods based on a multi-criteria performance evaluation. The results indicated that all bias-adjustment methods considerably reduced biases and increased the consistency of simulated hydrological signatures. The added value of multivariate methods in maintaining dependence structures between precipitation and temperature was not systematically reflected in the resulting hydrological signatures, as they were generally outperformed by univariate methods. The benefits of multivariate methods only emerged for low-flow signatures in snowmelt-driven catchments. Based on these findings, we identified the most suitable bias-adjustment methods for water-resources management in Nordic regions under a changing climate, and provided practical guidelines for the selection of bias-adjustment methods given specific research targets and hydroclimatic regimes.
PB  - Elsevier
T2  - Journal of Hydrology
T1  - Uni- and multivariate bias adjustment of climate model simulations in Nordic catchments: Effects on hydrological signatures relevant for water resources management in a changing climate
VL  - 623
DO  - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129807
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Tootoonchi, Faranak and Todorović, Andrijana and Grabs, Thomas and Teutschbein, Claudia",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Hydrological climate-change-impact studies depend on climatic variables simulated by climate models. Due to parametrization and numerous simplifications, however, climate-model outputs come with systematic biases compared to the observations. In the past decade, several methods of different complexity and dimensionality for adjustment of such biases were introduced, but their benefits for impact studies and accurate streamflow projections are still debated. In this paper, we evaluated the ability of two state-of-the-art, advanced multivariate bias-adjustment methods to accurately reproduce 16 hydrological signatures, and compared their performance against two parsimonious univariate bias-adjustment methods based on a multi-criteria performance evaluation. The results indicated that all bias-adjustment methods considerably reduced biases and increased the consistency of simulated hydrological signatures. The added value of multivariate methods in maintaining dependence structures between precipitation and temperature was not systematically reflected in the resulting hydrological signatures, as they were generally outperformed by univariate methods. The benefits of multivariate methods only emerged for low-flow signatures in snowmelt-driven catchments. Based on these findings, we identified the most suitable bias-adjustment methods for water-resources management in Nordic regions under a changing climate, and provided practical guidelines for the selection of bias-adjustment methods given specific research targets and hydroclimatic regimes.",
publisher = "Elsevier",
journal = "Journal of Hydrology",
title = "Uni- and multivariate bias adjustment of climate model simulations in Nordic catchments: Effects on hydrological signatures relevant for water resources management in a changing climate",
volume = "623",
doi = "10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129807"
}
Tootoonchi, F., Todorović, A., Grabs, T.,& Teutschbein, C.. (2023). Uni- and multivariate bias adjustment of climate model simulations in Nordic catchments: Effects on hydrological signatures relevant for water resources management in a changing climate. in Journal of Hydrology
Elsevier., 623.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129807
Tootoonchi F, Todorović A, Grabs T, Teutschbein C. Uni- and multivariate bias adjustment of climate model simulations in Nordic catchments: Effects on hydrological signatures relevant for water resources management in a changing climate. in Journal of Hydrology. 2023;623.
doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129807 .
Tootoonchi, Faranak, Todorović, Andrijana, Grabs, Thomas, Teutschbein, Claudia, "Uni- and multivariate bias adjustment of climate model simulations in Nordic catchments: Effects on hydrological signatures relevant for water resources management in a changing climate" in Journal of Hydrology, 623 (2023),
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129807 . .
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