Application of partitioned multiobjective risk method on extreme events
Primena metode deljenog višeciljnog rizika pri ekstremnim događajima
Апстракт
Hydraulic structures and systems are almost always conceived, designed, constructed, operated and maintained under the inevitable conditions of risk and uncertainty, where they are expected to achieve multiple and mutually conflicting objectives. In the process of comparing risks, traditionally, catastrophic losses that have little probability of the occurrence commensurate with minor damages that have high probability. However, it is obvious that low probability major flood event can not be addressed by the decision makers in the same way as high probability small floods, which is a result of a function that generates expected values. It is clear that the above two cases are far from being equal or proportional. The paper considers the problem of the risk of extreme events and presents method for determining the conditional expected value by partitioned multiobjective risk method, and demonstrates its potential applications through case studies.
Извор:
Zbornik radova međunarodne konferencije Savremena dostignuća u građevinarstvu 2015, 2015, 31, 527-533Издавач:
- Građevinski fakultet Subotica, Subotica
Напомена:
- Zbornik radova Građevinskog fakulteta
Колекције
Институција/група
GraFarTY - CONF AU - Šotić, Aleksandar AU - Pavlović, Dragutin AU - Ivetić, Marko PY - 2015 UR - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1325 AB - Hydraulic structures and systems are almost always conceived, designed, constructed, operated and maintained under the inevitable conditions of risk and uncertainty, where they are expected to achieve multiple and mutually conflicting objectives. In the process of comparing risks, traditionally, catastrophic losses that have little probability of the occurrence commensurate with minor damages that have high probability. However, it is obvious that low probability major flood event can not be addressed by the decision makers in the same way as high probability small floods, which is a result of a function that generates expected values. It is clear that the above two cases are far from being equal or proportional. The paper considers the problem of the risk of extreme events and presents method for determining the conditional expected value by partitioned multiobjective risk method, and demonstrates its potential applications through case studies. PB - Građevinski fakultet Subotica, Subotica C3 - Zbornik radova međunarodne konferencije Savremena dostignuća u građevinarstvu 2015 T1 - Application of partitioned multiobjective risk method on extreme events T1 - Primena metode deljenog višeciljnog rizika pri ekstremnim događajima EP - 533 SP - 527 VL - 31 DO - 10.14415/konferencijaGFS2015.065 ER -
@conference{ author = "Šotić, Aleksandar and Pavlović, Dragutin and Ivetić, Marko", year = "2015", abstract = "Hydraulic structures and systems are almost always conceived, designed, constructed, operated and maintained under the inevitable conditions of risk and uncertainty, where they are expected to achieve multiple and mutually conflicting objectives. In the process of comparing risks, traditionally, catastrophic losses that have little probability of the occurrence commensurate with minor damages that have high probability. However, it is obvious that low probability major flood event can not be addressed by the decision makers in the same way as high probability small floods, which is a result of a function that generates expected values. It is clear that the above two cases are far from being equal or proportional. The paper considers the problem of the risk of extreme events and presents method for determining the conditional expected value by partitioned multiobjective risk method, and demonstrates its potential applications through case studies.", publisher = "Građevinski fakultet Subotica, Subotica", journal = "Zbornik radova međunarodne konferencije Savremena dostignuća u građevinarstvu 2015", title = "Application of partitioned multiobjective risk method on extreme events, Primena metode deljenog višeciljnog rizika pri ekstremnim događajima", pages = "533-527", volume = "31", doi = "10.14415/konferencijaGFS2015.065" }
Šotić, A., Pavlović, D.,& Ivetić, M.. (2015). Application of partitioned multiobjective risk method on extreme events. in Zbornik radova međunarodne konferencije Savremena dostignuća u građevinarstvu 2015 Građevinski fakultet Subotica, Subotica., 31, 527-533. https://doi.org/10.14415/konferencijaGFS2015.065
Šotić A, Pavlović D, Ivetić M. Application of partitioned multiobjective risk method on extreme events. in Zbornik radova međunarodne konferencije Savremena dostignuća u građevinarstvu 2015. 2015;31:527-533. doi:10.14415/konferencijaGFS2015.065 .
Šotić, Aleksandar, Pavlović, Dragutin, Ivetić, Marko, "Application of partitioned multiobjective risk method on extreme events" in Zbornik radova međunarodne konferencije Savremena dostignuća u građevinarstvu 2015, 31 (2015):527-533, https://doi.org/10.14415/konferencijaGFS2015.065 . .