Kvalitativna analiza rizika sa mogućim uticajem na finansijsku, ekonomsku, društvenu i ekološku održivost projekta studija slučaja izgradnje autoputa E-80, Niš-Dimitrovgrad

Abstract

Previous research shows that, despite the importance of large infrastructure projects, their implementation is often unsuccessful, both in terms of failure to meet the traditional project success criteria (cost, time, quality), as well as in terms of the adverse economic, social and environmental effects that the projects can create. Risks that arrise from specific characteristics of this type of projects are identified as the main cause of deviations from their planned performance.This paper presents a possible approach for qualitative risk analysis in the project conception phase, applied on a case study of a motorway project E-80, section Niš-Dimitrovgrad. The application of qualitative risk analysis enables the timely identification, ranking and systematic overview of potential threats for the achievement of specific project objectives and the proposal of measures for the elimination or reduction of threats. The studied methodology can be used in future pre-investment analyses of infrastructure facilities.