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Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful framework for understanding the spatial patterns of fertility change in Serbia at the beginning of the 21st century?

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2019
bitstream_7067.pdf (4.052Mb)
Authors
Nikitović, Vladimir
Arsenović, Daniela
Sekulić, Aleksandar
Bajat, Branislav
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
Gaps in comprehension of demographic change in the region of ex-Yugoslavia after 1990, caused by a lack of reliable data series, frequent change of borders, and distinctive historical and cultural tradition in comparison to other post-communist societies, motivated us to contribute to the understanding of the spatial diffusion of recent profound fertility changes in South-Eastern Europe. We analysed changes in the spatial pattern and distribution of typical fertility indicators of the second demographic transition at the sub-national level in Serbia in order to find out whether these demographic shifts could be interpreted to be similar to those in Central and Eastern Europe. We found that differences in economic, historical, and cultural development between sub-regions of the country strongly affect spatial patterns of fertility change. Also, this paper suggests that the sub-regions forerunners of the first demographic transition could be considered as the cores of diffusion for the s...econd demographic transition.

Keywords:
South-East Europe / second demographic transition / sub-national fertility patterns / spatial autocorrelation / Serbia
Source:
AUC Geographica, 2019, 54, 2, 152-167
Funding / projects:
  • Demographic transition in Serbia (RS-146017)

DOI: 10.14712/23361980.2019.14

ISSN: 2336-1980 (Online)

WoS: 000504042100003

Scopus: 2-s2.0-85078483375
[ Google Scholar ]
URI
https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1840
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača / Researcher's publications
  • Катедра за геодезију и геоинформатику
Institution/Community
GraFar
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Nikitović, Vladimir
AU  - Arsenović, Daniela
AU  - Sekulić, Aleksandar
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1840
AB  - Gaps in comprehension of demographic change in the region of ex-Yugoslavia after 1990, caused by a lack of reliable data series, frequent change of borders, and distinctive historical and cultural tradition in comparison to other post-communist societies, motivated us to contribute to the understanding of the spatial diffusion of recent profound fertility changes in South-Eastern Europe. We analysed changes in the spatial pattern and distribution of typical fertility indicators of the second demographic transition at the sub-national level in Serbia in order to find out whether these demographic shifts could be interpreted to be similar to those in Central and Eastern Europe. We found that differences in economic, historical, and cultural development between sub-regions of the country strongly affect spatial patterns of fertility change. Also, this paper suggests that the sub-regions forerunners of the first demographic transition could be considered as the cores of diffusion for the second demographic transition.
T2  - AUC Geographica
T1  - Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful framework for understanding the spatial patterns of fertility change in Serbia at the beginning of the 21st century?
EP  - 167
IS  - 2
SP  - 152
VL  - 54
DO  - 10.14712/23361980.2019.14
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Nikitović, Vladimir and Arsenović, Daniela and Sekulić, Aleksandar and Bajat, Branislav",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Gaps in comprehension of demographic change in the region of ex-Yugoslavia after 1990, caused by a lack of reliable data series, frequent change of borders, and distinctive historical and cultural tradition in comparison to other post-communist societies, motivated us to contribute to the understanding of the spatial diffusion of recent profound fertility changes in South-Eastern Europe. We analysed changes in the spatial pattern and distribution of typical fertility indicators of the second demographic transition at the sub-national level in Serbia in order to find out whether these demographic shifts could be interpreted to be similar to those in Central and Eastern Europe. We found that differences in economic, historical, and cultural development between sub-regions of the country strongly affect spatial patterns of fertility change. Also, this paper suggests that the sub-regions forerunners of the first demographic transition could be considered as the cores of diffusion for the second demographic transition.",
journal = "AUC Geographica",
title = "Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful framework for understanding the spatial patterns of fertility change in Serbia at the beginning of the 21st century?",
pages = "167-152",
number = "2",
volume = "54",
doi = "10.14712/23361980.2019.14"
}
Nikitović, V., Arsenović, D., Sekulić, A.,& Bajat, B.. (2019). Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful framework for understanding the spatial patterns of fertility change in Serbia at the beginning of the 21st century?. in AUC Geographica, 54(2), 152-167.
https://doi.org/10.14712/23361980.2019.14
Nikitović V, Arsenović D, Sekulić A, Bajat B. Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful framework for understanding the spatial patterns of fertility change in Serbia at the beginning of the 21st century?. in AUC Geographica. 2019;54(2):152-167.
doi:10.14712/23361980.2019.14 .
Nikitović, Vladimir, Arsenović, Daniela, Sekulić, Aleksandar, Bajat, Branislav, "Is the Second Demographic Transition a useful framework for understanding the spatial patterns of fertility change in Serbia at the beginning of the 21st century?" in AUC Geographica, 54, no. 2 (2019):152-167,
https://doi.org/10.14712/23361980.2019.14 . .

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