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Statistical approach in land-use suitability analysis of the Belgrade City suburbs

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2013
Main article, publisher version (1.680Mb)
Authors
Petrović, Rastko
Marjanović, Miloš
Đurić, Uroš
Šušić, Vladimir
Abolmasov, Biljana
Zečević, Snežana
Contributors
Vujošević, Miodrag
Miljić, Saša
Conference object (Published version)
,
Institute of Architecture and Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia (IAUS)
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Abstract
The need for smart sustainable urban solutions has never been greater than it is today. Master plan (MP) represents rather significant document for a city development and the City of Belgrade has a tradition and long history of development under MP framework (Djuric et al 2013). Current MP (Fig. 1), made by the Urban Planning Institute of Belgrade, has been adopted in 2003 and refers to the development period by the year of 2021 (http://www.urbel.com/default.aspx?ID=uzb_BG_planovi&LN=ENG). On the other hand the City of Belgrade is facing a rapid urban sprawl so suburbanization problem is particularly pronounced. Since MP is following the current needs of the city, active subjects of economic development as well as urban municipalities, there is strong initiative to expand its current extents for the suburb areas. Among other significant points of the MP, determination of the Land-Use Suitability (LUS) is considered to be one of the foremost planning references. LUS analysis ...is a tool used to define future land uses or their potential. Suitability techniques enable environmental managers, planners and engineers to analyze the interactions among various factors. Decision makers and developers can use the outputs to set policies and make decisions regarding the use of land. Contemporary environmental managers and planners are aware of the technological advancements in land-use allocation and suitability modelling. New methods of spatial analysis are now commonly used in the development of land-use plans, environmental impact reviews, and site selection studies for many different land uses and public and private facilities (Collins, 2001). The earliest applications of suitability analysis conducted by engineering geologists and civil engineers for Belgrade MP area, in form of hand-drawn sieve mapping overlays was done by Šutić et al. (1972). Later, numerous researchers performed similar suitability analysis for different purposes (urban planning, defining best/optimal road routes etc). First work involving suitability analysis in GIS environment has been done in 2009/2010 (Marjanović, 2009; Djurić, 2010), but none for Belgrade area. This paper introduces a new approach and represents in fact, a pioneering work performed for the City of Belgrade. It represents how available thematic data, processed in GIS environment, can be and was used for LUS assessment. One of the statistical methods involving the Conditional Probability (CP) approach with the Weight of Evidence technique, has been used. Conventional methods on the other hand, are still needed to validate the outcomes and to calibrate these GIS-based methods, which are still to be developed and perfected. There was a strong motif supporting this research, since in-charged City’s government services have shown interest in extending the Master Plan (MP) to the Belgrade suburb areas.

Keywords:
Land-Use suitability / GIS / City of Belgrade / Suburbanization / Conditional Probability
Source:
International Scientific Conference Regional Development, Spatial Planning and Strategic Governance - RESPAG 2013 - Conference proceedings, 2013, 517-529
Publisher:
  • Institute of Architecture and Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia (IAUS)
Projects:
  • The application of GNSS and LIDAR technology for infrastructure facilities and terrain stability monitoring (RS-36009)

ISBN: 978-86-80329-76-5

[ Google Scholar ]
URI
https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2068
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača / Researcher's publications
  • Катедра за грађевинску геотехнику
Institution
GraFar
TY  - CONF
AU  - Petrović, Rastko
AU  - Marjanović, Miloš
AU  - Đurić, Uroš
AU  - Šušić, Vladimir
AU  - Abolmasov, Biljana
AU  - Zečević, Snežana
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2068
AB  - The need for smart sustainable urban solutions has never been greater than it is today.
Master plan (MP) represents rather significant document for a city development and the
City of Belgrade has a tradition and long history of development under MP framework
(Djuric et al 2013). Current MP (Fig. 1), made by the Urban Planning Institute of Belgrade,
has been adopted in 2003 and refers to the development period by the year of 2021
(http://www.urbel.com/default.aspx?ID=uzb_BG_planovi&LN=ENG).
On the other hand the City of Belgrade is facing a rapid urban sprawl so suburbanization
problem is particularly pronounced. Since MP is following the current needs of the city,
active subjects of economic development as well as urban municipalities, there is strong
initiative to expand its current extents for the suburb areas.
Among other significant points of the MP, determination of the Land-Use Suitability
(LUS) is considered to be one of the foremost planning references. LUS analysis is a tool
used to define future land uses or their potential. Suitability techniques enable
environmental managers, planners and engineers to analyze the interactions among various
factors. Decision makers and developers can use the outputs to set policies and make
decisions regarding the use of land. Contemporary environmental managers and planners
are aware of the technological advancements in land-use allocation and suitability
modelling. New methods of spatial analysis are now commonly used in the development of
land-use plans, environmental impact reviews, and site selection studies for many different
land uses and public and private facilities (Collins, 2001). The earliest applications of
suitability analysis conducted by engineering geologists and civil engineers for Belgrade
MP area, in form of hand-drawn sieve mapping overlays was done by Šutić et al. (1972).
Later, numerous researchers performed similar suitability analysis for different purposes
(urban planning, defining best/optimal road routes etc). First work involving suitability
analysis in GIS environment has been done in 2009/2010 (Marjanović, 2009; Djurić,
2010), but none for Belgrade area.
This paper introduces a new approach and represents in fact, a pioneering work performed
for the City of Belgrade. It represents how available thematic data, processed in GIS
environment, can be and was used for LUS assessment. One of the statistical methods
involving the Conditional Probability (CP) approach with the Weight of Evidence
technique, has been used. Conventional methods on the other hand, are still needed to
validate the outcomes and to calibrate these GIS-based methods, which are still to be
developed and perfected.
There was a strong motif supporting this research, since in-charged City’s government
services have shown interest in extending the Master Plan (MP) to the Belgrade suburb
areas.
PB  - Institute of Architecture and Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia (IAUS)
C3  - International Scientific Conference Regional Development, Spatial Planning and Strategic Governance - RESPAG 2013 - Conference proceedings
T1  - Statistical approach in land-use suitability analysis of the Belgrade City suburbs
EP  - 529
SP  - 517
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Petrović, Rastko and Marjanović, Miloš and Đurić, Uroš and Šušić, Vladimir and Abolmasov, Biljana and Zečević, Snežana",
year = "2013",
url = "https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2068",
abstract = "The need for smart sustainable urban solutions has never been greater than it is today.
Master plan (MP) represents rather significant document for a city development and the
City of Belgrade has a tradition and long history of development under MP framework
(Djuric et al 2013). Current MP (Fig. 1), made by the Urban Planning Institute of Belgrade,
has been adopted in 2003 and refers to the development period by the year of 2021
(http://www.urbel.com/default.aspx?ID=uzb_BG_planovi&LN=ENG).
On the other hand the City of Belgrade is facing a rapid urban sprawl so suburbanization
problem is particularly pronounced. Since MP is following the current needs of the city,
active subjects of economic development as well as urban municipalities, there is strong
initiative to expand its current extents for the suburb areas.
Among other significant points of the MP, determination of the Land-Use Suitability
(LUS) is considered to be one of the foremost planning references. LUS analysis is a tool
used to define future land uses or their potential. Suitability techniques enable
environmental managers, planners and engineers to analyze the interactions among various
factors. Decision makers and developers can use the outputs to set policies and make
decisions regarding the use of land. Contemporary environmental managers and planners
are aware of the technological advancements in land-use allocation and suitability
modelling. New methods of spatial analysis are now commonly used in the development of
land-use plans, environmental impact reviews, and site selection studies for many different
land uses and public and private facilities (Collins, 2001). The earliest applications of
suitability analysis conducted by engineering geologists and civil engineers for Belgrade
MP area, in form of hand-drawn sieve mapping overlays was done by Šutić et al. (1972).
Later, numerous researchers performed similar suitability analysis for different purposes
(urban planning, defining best/optimal road routes etc). First work involving suitability
analysis in GIS environment has been done in 2009/2010 (Marjanović, 2009; Djurić,
2010), but none for Belgrade area.
This paper introduces a new approach and represents in fact, a pioneering work performed
for the City of Belgrade. It represents how available thematic data, processed in GIS
environment, can be and was used for LUS assessment. One of the statistical methods
involving the Conditional Probability (CP) approach with the Weight of Evidence
technique, has been used. Conventional methods on the other hand, are still needed to
validate the outcomes and to calibrate these GIS-based methods, which are still to be
developed and perfected.
There was a strong motif supporting this research, since in-charged City’s government
services have shown interest in extending the Master Plan (MP) to the Belgrade suburb
areas.",
publisher = "Institute of Architecture and Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia (IAUS)",
journal = "International Scientific Conference Regional Development, Spatial Planning and Strategic Governance - RESPAG 2013 - Conference proceedings",
title = "Statistical approach in land-use suitability analysis of the Belgrade City suburbs",
pages = "529-517"
}
Petrović R, Marjanović M, Đurić U, Šušić V, Abolmasov B, Zečević S. Statistical approach in land-use suitability analysis of the Belgrade City suburbs. International Scientific Conference Regional Development, Spatial Planning and Strategic Governance - RESPAG 2013 - Conference proceedings. 2013;:517-529
Petrović, R., Marjanović, M., Đurić, U., Šušić, V., Abolmasov, B.,& Zečević, S. (2013). Statistical approach in land-use suitability analysis of the Belgrade City suburbs.
International Scientific Conference Regional Development, Spatial Planning and Strategic Governance - RESPAG 2013 - Conference proceedingsInstitute of Architecture and Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia (IAUS)., 517-529.
Petrović Rastko, Marjanović Miloš, Đurić Uroš, Šušić Vladimir, Abolmasov Biljana, Zečević Snežana, "Statistical approach in land-use suitability analysis of the Belgrade City suburbs" (2013):517-529

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