Dynamics resilience as a measure for risk assessment of the complex water systems: Project overview

Abstract

To manage impacts of natural disasters we propose the use of system approach to enhance the predictive power in resilience assessment of water system beyond the largest recorded events. The main objective of the proposed research is the development of a modelling framework for dynamic resilience assessment. The traditional risk-based approach and use of standards is replaced with a quantitative assessment of the dynamic resilience. By developing a novel framework, the research therefore makes a context introducing a dynamic resilience as a measure for risk assessment. In this context, the research will provide the generic methodology and tools for dynamic resilience assessment. This framework offers an opportunity for highlighting the role of using multi-model simulations which supports the estimation of dynamic resilience. It underpins investment decisions within the different sectors (e.g. water, hydroenergy, environmental sectors) for adaptation schemes under the uncertain changes in our environment (e.g. variable climate, natural disasters).