Droughts can affect a multitude of public and private sectors, with impacts developing slowly over time. While droughts are traditionally quantified in relation to the hydrological components of the water cycle that they affect, this manuscript demonstrates a novel approach to assess future drought conditions through the lens of the water-energy-food-ecosystem (WEFE) nexus concept. To this end, a set of standardized drought indices specifically designed to represent different nexus sectors across 50 catchments in Sweden was computed based on an ensemble of past and future climate model simulations. Different patterns in the response of the four nexus sectors water, energy, food and ecosystem services to future climate change emerged, with different response times and drought durations across the sectors. These results offer new insights into the propagation of drought through the WEFE nexus in cold climates. They further suggest that future drought projections can be better geared towa...rds decision makers by basing them on standardized drought indices that were specifically tailored to represent particular nexus sectors.
Keywords:
droughts / WEFE nexus / water / energy / food / ecosystems / propagation / indices / streamflow / hydropower / agriculture / forests / drinking water supply / Sweden
Source:
Journal of Hydrology, 2022, 128963
Publisher:
Elsevier
Funding / projects:
Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (FORMAS, contract number: 942-2015-1123)
Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences (no. LN2016-0101)
eSSENCE – The Swedish eScience collaboration (beslut 2022-03-08)
Swedish Research Council (VR, registration number 2017-04970)
TY - JOUR
AU - Teutschbein, Claudia
AU - Jonsson, Elise
AU - Todorović, Andrijana
AU - Tootoonchi, Faranak
AU - Stenfors, Elin
AU - Grabs, Thomas
PY - 2022
UR - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2900
AB - Droughts can affect a multitude of public and private sectors, with impacts developing slowly over time. While droughts are traditionally quantified in relation to the hydrological components of the water cycle that they affect, this manuscript demonstrates a novel approach to assess future drought conditions through the lens of the water-energy-food-ecosystem (WEFE) nexus concept. To this end, a set of standardized drought indices specifically designed to represent different nexus sectors across 50 catchments in Sweden was computed based on an ensemble of past and future climate model simulations. Different patterns in the response of the four nexus sectors water, energy, food and ecosystem services to future climate change emerged, with different response times and drought durations across the sectors. These results offer new insights into the propagation of drought through the WEFE nexus in cold climates. They further suggest that future drought projections can be better geared towards decision makers by basing them on standardized drought indices that were specifically tailored to represent particular nexus sectors.
PB - Elsevier
T2 - Journal of Hydrology
T1 - Future Drought Propagation through the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem Nexus – a Nordic Perspective
IS - 128963
DO - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128963
ER -
@article{
author = "Teutschbein, Claudia and Jonsson, Elise and Todorović, Andrijana and Tootoonchi, Faranak and Stenfors, Elin and Grabs, Thomas",
year = "2022",
abstract = "Droughts can affect a multitude of public and private sectors, with impacts developing slowly over time. While droughts are traditionally quantified in relation to the hydrological components of the water cycle that they affect, this manuscript demonstrates a novel approach to assess future drought conditions through the lens of the water-energy-food-ecosystem (WEFE) nexus concept. To this end, a set of standardized drought indices specifically designed to represent different nexus sectors across 50 catchments in Sweden was computed based on an ensemble of past and future climate model simulations. Different patterns in the response of the four nexus sectors water, energy, food and ecosystem services to future climate change emerged, with different response times and drought durations across the sectors. These results offer new insights into the propagation of drought through the WEFE nexus in cold climates. They further suggest that future drought projections can be better geared towards decision makers by basing them on standardized drought indices that were specifically tailored to represent particular nexus sectors.",
publisher = "Elsevier",
journal = "Journal of Hydrology",
title = "Future Drought Propagation through the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem Nexus – a Nordic Perspective",
number = "128963",
doi = "10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128963"
}
Teutschbein, C., Jonsson, E., Todorović, A., Tootoonchi, F., Stenfors, E.,& Grabs, T.. (2022). Future Drought Propagation through the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem Nexus – a Nordic Perspective. in Journal of Hydrology
Elsevier.(128963).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128963
Teutschbein C, Jonsson E, Todorović A, Tootoonchi F, Stenfors E, Grabs T. Future Drought Propagation through the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem Nexus – a Nordic Perspective. in Journal of Hydrology. 2022;(128963).
doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128963 .
Teutschbein, Claudia, Jonsson, Elise, Todorović, Andrijana, Tootoonchi, Faranak, Stenfors, Elin, Grabs, Thomas, "Future Drought Propagation through the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem Nexus – a Nordic Perspective" in Journal of Hydrology, no. 128963 (2022),
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128963 . .
,