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On design flood levels of the Danube river at Novi Sad

O računskim nivoima vode za zaštitu od poplava na Dunavu kod Novog Sada

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2010
330.pdf (1.288Mb)
Authors
Plavšić, Jasna
Milutinović, Rade
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
Protection of the city of Novi Sad from floods relies mainly on levees along the banks of the Danube River. These levees were reconstructed after a great flood in 1965, when they were designed to protect the city from a 100-year flood level. This design flood level was the result of frequency analysis of annual maximum water stages for a 21-year long record (1947-1967). Such a choice of the observed record for frequency analysis resulted in levee heights that secured additional protection of Novi Sad from floods in last 40 years. Any other choice of record length and period would have resulted in lower design levels and poorer protection from floods. The paper discusses the effects of the choice of the subrecord on design flood level by investigating results of flood frequency analysis for different periods of observed water stages of the Danube at Novi Sad. The results show that the level of flood protection of the city of Novi Sad is now lower then designed 40 years ago.
Zaštita Novog Sada od velikih voda oslanja se najvećim delom na nasipe duž obala Dunava koji su rekonstruisani posle velike poplave iz 1965. godine, kada su dimenzionisani na 100-godišnju veliku vodu. Merodavni nivo vode za dimenzionisanje nasipa određen je tada na osnovu statističke analize niza od 21 maksimalnog godišnjeg vodostaja (1947-1967). Vreme je pokazalo da je taj niz dao merodavni vodostaj s kojim je Novi Sad imao dodatnu zaštitu od velikih voda tokom poslednjih 40 godina. Svaki drugačiji izbor niza za statističku analizu imao bi za rezultat niži merodavni vodostaj i niže kote nasipa. U radu se razmatra uticaj izbora niza maksimalnih godišnjih vodostaja na rezultate statističke analize i na vrednosti merodavnih vodostaja na Dunavu kod Novog Sada. Rezultati pokazuju da je stepen zaštite Novog Sada od plavljenja ispod projektovanog.
Keywords:
floods / frequency analysis / annual maxima / peaks over threshold method / design stages / flood control / velike vode / statistička analiza / metoda godišnjih maksimuma / metoda prekoračenja / merodavni vodostaji / zaštita od poplava
Source:
Vodoprivreda, 2010, 42, 1-3, 69-78
Publisher:
  • Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd

ISSN: 0350-0519

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URI
https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/332
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  • Radovi istraživača / Researcher's publications
  • Катедра за хидротехнику и водно-еколошко инжењерство
Institution/Community
GraFar
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Milutinović, Rade
PY  - 2010
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/332
AB  - Protection of the city of Novi Sad from floods relies mainly on levees along the banks of the Danube River. These levees were reconstructed after a great flood in 1965, when they were designed to protect the city from a 100-year flood level. This design flood level was the result of frequency analysis of annual maximum water stages for a 21-year long record (1947-1967). Such a choice of the observed record for frequency analysis resulted in levee heights that secured additional protection of Novi Sad from floods in last 40 years. Any other choice of record length and period would have resulted in lower design levels and poorer protection from floods. The paper discusses the effects of the choice of the subrecord on design flood level by investigating results of flood frequency analysis for different periods of observed water stages of the Danube at Novi Sad. The results show that the level of flood protection of the city of Novi Sad is now lower then designed 40 years ago.
AB  - Zaštita Novog Sada od velikih voda oslanja se najvećim delom na nasipe duž obala Dunava koji su rekonstruisani posle velike poplave iz 1965. godine, kada su dimenzionisani na 100-godišnju veliku vodu. Merodavni nivo vode za dimenzionisanje nasipa određen je tada na osnovu statističke analize niza od 21 maksimalnog godišnjeg vodostaja (1947-1967). Vreme je pokazalo da je taj niz dao merodavni vodostaj s kojim je Novi Sad imao dodatnu zaštitu od velikih voda tokom poslednjih 40 godina. Svaki drugačiji izbor niza za statističku analizu imao bi za rezultat niži merodavni vodostaj i niže kote nasipa. U radu se razmatra uticaj izbora niza maksimalnih godišnjih vodostaja na rezultate statističke analize i na vrednosti merodavnih vodostaja na Dunavu kod Novog Sada. Rezultati pokazuju da je stepen zaštite Novog Sada od plavljenja ispod projektovanog.
PB  - Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd
T2  - Vodoprivreda
T1  - On design flood levels of the Danube river at Novi Sad
T1  - O računskim nivoima vode za zaštitu od poplava na Dunavu kod Novog Sada
EP  - 78
IS  - 1-3
SP  - 69
VL  - 42
UR  - conv_110
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Plavšić, Jasna and Milutinović, Rade",
year = "2010",
abstract = "Protection of the city of Novi Sad from floods relies mainly on levees along the banks of the Danube River. These levees were reconstructed after a great flood in 1965, when they were designed to protect the city from a 100-year flood level. This design flood level was the result of frequency analysis of annual maximum water stages for a 21-year long record (1947-1967). Such a choice of the observed record for frequency analysis resulted in levee heights that secured additional protection of Novi Sad from floods in last 40 years. Any other choice of record length and period would have resulted in lower design levels and poorer protection from floods. The paper discusses the effects of the choice of the subrecord on design flood level by investigating results of flood frequency analysis for different periods of observed water stages of the Danube at Novi Sad. The results show that the level of flood protection of the city of Novi Sad is now lower then designed 40 years ago., Zaštita Novog Sada od velikih voda oslanja se najvećim delom na nasipe duž obala Dunava koji su rekonstruisani posle velike poplave iz 1965. godine, kada su dimenzionisani na 100-godišnju veliku vodu. Merodavni nivo vode za dimenzionisanje nasipa određen je tada na osnovu statističke analize niza od 21 maksimalnog godišnjeg vodostaja (1947-1967). Vreme je pokazalo da je taj niz dao merodavni vodostaj s kojim je Novi Sad imao dodatnu zaštitu od velikih voda tokom poslednjih 40 godina. Svaki drugačiji izbor niza za statističku analizu imao bi za rezultat niži merodavni vodostaj i niže kote nasipa. U radu se razmatra uticaj izbora niza maksimalnih godišnjih vodostaja na rezultate statističke analize i na vrednosti merodavnih vodostaja na Dunavu kod Novog Sada. Rezultati pokazuju da je stepen zaštite Novog Sada od plavljenja ispod projektovanog.",
publisher = "Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd",
journal = "Vodoprivreda",
title = "On design flood levels of the Danube river at Novi Sad, O računskim nivoima vode za zaštitu od poplava na Dunavu kod Novog Sada",
pages = "78-69",
number = "1-3",
volume = "42",
url = "conv_110"
}
Plavšić, J.,& Milutinović, R.. (2010). On design flood levels of the Danube river at Novi Sad. in Vodoprivreda
Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd., 42(1-3), 69-78.
conv_110
Plavšić J, Milutinović R. On design flood levels of the Danube river at Novi Sad. in Vodoprivreda. 2010;42(1-3):69-78.
conv_110 .
Plavšić, Jasna, Milutinović, Rade, "On design flood levels of the Danube river at Novi Sad" in Vodoprivreda, 42, no. 1-3 (2010):69-78,
conv_110 .

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