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Spatial modelling of population concentration using geographically weighted regression method

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2011
405.pdf (605.8Kb)
Authors
Bajat, Branislav
Krunić, Nikola
Kilibarda, Milan
Samardžić-Petrović, Mileva
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
This paper presents possibilities of applying the geographically weighted regression method in mapping population change index. During the last decade, this contemporary spatial modeling method has been increasingly used in geographical analyses. On the example of the researched region of Timočka Krajina (defined for the needs of elaborating the Regional Spatial Plan), the possibilities for applying this method in disaggregation of traditional models of population density, which are created using the choropleth maps at the level of statistical spatial units, are shown. The applied method is based on the use of ancillary spatial predictors which are in correlation with a targeted variable, the population change index. For this purpose, spatial databases have been used such as digital terrain model, distances from the network of I and II category state roads, as well as soil sealing databases. Spatial model has been developed in the GIS software environment using commercial GIS applicati...ons, as well as open source GIS software. Population change indexes for the period 1961-2002 have been mapped based on population census data, while the data on planned population forecast have been used for the period 2002-2027.

Keywords:
Geographically weighted regression / population change index / dasymetric method / GIS / open source / Timočka Krajina
Source:
Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 2011, 61, 3, 151-167
Publisher:
  • Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
Funding / projects:
  • Spatial, environmental, energy and social aspects of developing settlements and climate change - mutual impacts (RS-36035)
  • The role and implementation of the national spatial plan and regional development documents in renewal of strategic research, thinking and governance in Serbia (RS-47014)

DOI: 10.2298/IJGI1103151B

ISSN: 0350-7599

[ Google Scholar ]
URI
https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/407
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača / Researcher's publications
  • Катедра за геодезију и геоинформатику
Institution/Community
GraFar
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Krunić, Nikola
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Samardžić-Petrović, Mileva
PY  - 2011
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/407
AB  - This paper presents possibilities of applying the geographically weighted regression method in mapping population change index. During the last decade, this contemporary spatial modeling method has been increasingly used in geographical analyses. On the example of the researched region of Timočka Krajina (defined for the needs of elaborating the Regional Spatial Plan), the possibilities for applying this method in disaggregation of traditional models of population density, which are created using the choropleth maps at the level of statistical spatial units, are shown. The applied method is based on the use of ancillary spatial predictors which are in correlation with a targeted variable, the population change index. For this purpose, spatial databases have been used such as digital terrain model, distances from the network of I and II category state roads, as well as soil sealing databases. Spatial model has been developed in the GIS software environment using commercial GIS applications, as well as open source GIS software. Population change indexes for the period 1961-2002 have been mapped based on population census data, while the data on planned population forecast have been used for the period 2002-2027.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Spatial modelling of population concentration using geographically weighted regression method
EP  - 167
IS  - 3
SP  - 151
VL  - 61
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1103151B
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Bajat, Branislav and Krunić, Nikola and Kilibarda, Milan and Samardžić-Petrović, Mileva",
year = "2011",
abstract = "This paper presents possibilities of applying the geographically weighted regression method in mapping population change index. During the last decade, this contemporary spatial modeling method has been increasingly used in geographical analyses. On the example of the researched region of Timočka Krajina (defined for the needs of elaborating the Regional Spatial Plan), the possibilities for applying this method in disaggregation of traditional models of population density, which are created using the choropleth maps at the level of statistical spatial units, are shown. The applied method is based on the use of ancillary spatial predictors which are in correlation with a targeted variable, the population change index. For this purpose, spatial databases have been used such as digital terrain model, distances from the network of I and II category state roads, as well as soil sealing databases. Spatial model has been developed in the GIS software environment using commercial GIS applications, as well as open source GIS software. Population change indexes for the period 1961-2002 have been mapped based on population census data, while the data on planned population forecast have been used for the period 2002-2027.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Spatial modelling of population concentration using geographically weighted regression method",
pages = "167-151",
number = "3",
volume = "61",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1103151B"
}
Bajat, B., Krunić, N., Kilibarda, M.,& Samardžić-Petrović, M.. (2011). Spatial modelling of population concentration using geographically weighted regression method. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 61(3), 151-167.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1103151B
Bajat B, Krunić N, Kilibarda M, Samardžić-Petrović M. Spatial modelling of population concentration using geographically weighted regression method. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2011;61(3):151-167.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1103151B .
Bajat, Branislav, Krunić, Nikola, Kilibarda, Milan, Samardžić-Petrović, Mileva, "Spatial modelling of population concentration using geographically weighted regression method" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 61, no. 3 (2011):151-167,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1103151B . .

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