Mapping probabilities of precipitation occurrence on the territory of the Republic of Serbia by the method of indicator kriging

Abstract

This paper presents the application of indicator kriging as a geostatistical method for the purpose of creating maps of precipitation occurrence probabilities on the territory of the Republic of Serbia for distinctive months during 2009. The difference between this approach to mapping and standard isohyetal maps, which describe precipitation intensity, lies in the fact that this approach points to the potential of the occurrence of a certain amount of precipitation at a specific location for a given time period.

U radu je dat prikaz primene geostatističke metode indikatorskog kriginga za potrebe izrade karata verovatnoća pojave kišnih padavina na teritoriji Republike Srbije za karakteristične mesece u toku 2009. godine. Razlika između ovakvog pristupa kartiranju i standardnih izohijetnih karata koje opisuju intenzitet padavina je u tome što ovaj pristup ukazuje na potencijal pojave određene količine padavina na nekoj lokaciji za dati vremenski interval.