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Spatial patterns of recent demographic trends in Serbia (1961-2010)

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Authors
Nikitović, Vladimir
Bajat, Branislav
Blagojević, Dragan
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
This study considers the spatial and temporal dimensions of demographic trends in Serbia between 1961 and 2010. Using appropriate spatial autocorrelation statistics, spatial patterns of common demographic indicators including changes in population size, the rate of natural increase and infant mortality rate are investigated across municipalities of Serbia. Also, the impact of differential demographic rates according to ethnic origin on forming spatial clusters is implicitly considered. Different stages of demographic transition across municipalities at the start of the analyzed period determined the spatial pattern of clustered subregions; ethnic origin appeared to be a strong factor of differentiation regarding population dynamics. The two opposed areas regarding the transition of rates of natural increase and infant mortality were clustered; the southern included Kosovo and the least developed subregions of Central Serbia. The City of Belgrade and Kosovo have been the two hubs of pop...ulation growth in Serbia over the past 50 years, while the strongest depopulation refers to the north and east border regions.

Keywords:
population change / rate of natural increase / infant mortality rate / spatial auto-correlation / Serbia
Source:
Geografie-Sbornik CGS, 2016, 121, 4, 521-543
Publisher:
  • Ceska Geograficka Spolecnost

ISSN: 1212-0014

WoS: 000391276300002

Scopus: 2-s2.0-85015286119
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URI
http://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/749
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  • Radovi istraživača / Researcher's publications
  • Катедра за геодезију и геоинформатику
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