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Modeliranje vodoprivrednog sistema sliva Drine i analiza izabranih razvojnih i klimatskih scenarija

dc.creatorPlavšić, Jasna
dc.creatorDašić, Tina
dc.creatorMilovanović, Ivan
dc.date.accessioned2019-04-19T14:26:59Z
dc.date.available2019-04-19T14:26:59Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.identifier.issn0350-0519
dc.identifier.urihttp://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/828
dc.description.abstractThe paper presents the methodological framework for the analysis of the Drina River basin water resources system under different development and climate scenarios. Within this methodological framework, a water management model of the Drina River basin is developed using the WEAP modelling software. The model describes the Drina River basin as a complex water resources system, which includes the natural water balance components and water demand by the users in the basin (municipal, industrial and agricultural water supply, reservoirs and hydropower facilities). Data on the natural hydrologic input is provided from a separate hydrologic model. The water management model serves as a tool for simulating water balance in the basin and for evaluating the system performance by analysing the effects of different planned facilities under the impact of climate change. Several different development options in terms of new hydropower facilities are considered, as well as two climate change scenarios. The paper describes the development and the application of the Drina River basin water management model, while the results are evaluated by analysing the reliability of water supply, hydroenergy production and reliability of the environmental flow requirements. The aim of the paper is to demonstrate the abilities and limitations of modelling the water resources systems using the WEAP tool.en
dc.description.abstractU radu je prikazan metodološki okvir za analizu rada vodoprivrednog sistema sliva reke Drine pod pretpostavkom različitih razvojnih i klimatskih scenarija. U okviru ovog metodološkog okvira razvijen je vodoprivredni model sliva Drine korišćenjem softvera WEAP. Model opisuje sliv Drine kao složeni vodoprivredni sistem, u koji su uključeni prirodni hidrološki bilans i potrebe korisnika voda na slivu (snabdevanje stanovništva, industrije i poljoprivrede vodom, akumulacije i hidro-energetske objekte). Podaci o prirodnim protocima na slivu obezbeđuju se iz odvojenog hidrološkog modela. Vodoprivredni model služi kao alat za simulaciju vodoprivrednog bilansa na slivu i vrednovanje sistema, tj. sagledavanje efekata različitih planiranih objekata u uslovima klimatskih promena. Razmatrano je više razvojnih scenarija sa gledišta uključivanja novih hidro-energetskih objekata, kao i dva klimatska scenarija. Rad opisuje razvoj i primenu vodoprivrednog modela Drine, a rezultati se analiziraju kroz obezbeđenost isporuke vode korisnicima, proizvodnju električne energije i obezbeđenost zahtevanih minimalnih ekoloških protoka. Cilj rada je da demonstrira mogućnosti i ograničenja modeliranja vodoprivrednih sistema sa softverom WEAP.sr
dc.publisherJugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd
dc.rightsopenAccess
dc.sourceVodoprivreda
dc.subjectwater resources systemsen
dc.subjectmodellingen
dc.subjectWEAP toolen
dc.subjectvodoprivredni sistemisr
dc.subjectmodeliranjesr
dc.subjectWEAP modelsr
dc.titleModelling the Drina river basin water resources system and analysis of selected development and climate scenariosen
dc.titleModeliranje vodoprivrednog sistema sliva Drine i analiza izabranih razvojnih i klimatskih scenarijasr
dc.typearticle
dc.rights.licenseARR
dc.citation.epage137
dc.citation.issue1-3
dc.citation.other49(1-3): 125-137
dc.citation.rankM51
dc.citation.spage125
dc.citation.volume49
dc.identifier.fulltexthttp://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs//bitstream/id/4206/826.pdf
dc.identifier.rcubconv_174
dc.type.versionpublishedVersion


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