Statistical approach in land-use suitability analysis of the Belgrade City suburbs
Authors
Petrović, RastkoMarjanović, Miloš
Đurić, Uroš
Šušić, Vladimir
Abolmasov, Biljana
Zečević, Snežana
Contributors
Marić, IgorPetrić, Jasna
Conference object (Published version)
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Institute of Architecture and Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia (IAUS) Belgrade
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
The paper addresses the problem of suburb development potential in the City of
Belgrade. Suburbanization problem is particularly pronounced due to the rapid spreading
of the city, and there is a strong initiative for extending the existing Master Plan for
these suburb areas. One of the important points in that context is determination of the
Land-Use suitability, as one of the foremost planning references. Herein, a statistical
model is proposed for modeling of the Land-Use suitability relying on the available
thematic data, including the following sources: Land-Cover, Geological, Topographic
and Protected areas maps and some synthetic maps derived from these sources in a GIS
environment. For the modeling purposes, the Conditional Probability approach has been
implemented, using Weight of Evidence technique, in particular. Two modeling schemes
have been involved: (i) model is being built and correlated in the extents of the known
Land-Use suitability (training area) (ii) mod...el is being extrapolated to the areas with
partly known Land-Use suitability (by having only two particular suitability classes at
disposal). Such strategy enabled optimization of classification scale, crucial for the
actual comparison of the actual state and the final model, as a combination of (i) and (ii).
The results were convincing and by reaching more nearly 80% of accuracy, they parallel
the results of the earlier work based on different methodology. Finally, a practical
applicability of the model has been also discussed.
Keywords:
Land-Use suitability / GIS / City of Belgrade / Suburbanization / Conditional ProbabilitySource:
Book of Abstracts: 2nd International Scientific Conference Regional Development, 2013, 72-72Publisher:
- Institute of Architecture and Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia (IAUS) Belgrade