Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers
Abstract
Water resource has become a guarantee for sustainable development on both local and global scales. Exploiting water resources involves development of hydrological models for water management planning. In this paper we present a new stochastic model for generation of mean annul flows. The model is based on historical characteristics of time series of annual flows and consists of the trend component, long-term periodic component and stochastic component. The rest of specified components are model errors which are represented as a random time series. The random time series is generated by the single bootstrap model (SBM). Stochastic ensemble of error terms at the single hydrological station is formed using the SBM method. The ultimate stochastic model gives solutions of annual flows and presents a useful tool for integrated river basin planning and water management studies. The model is applied for ten large European rivers with long observed period. Validation of model results suggests t...hat the stochastic flows simulated by the model can be used for hydrological simulations in river basins.
Keywords:
Stochastic model / Flow simulation / Long-term periodicity / Single bootstrap model SBMSource:
Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 2015, 63, 1, 63-70Publisher:
- Versita
Funding / projects:
- Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Water Resources of Serbia (RS-MESTD-Technological Development (TD or TR)-37005)
DOI: 10.1515/johh-2015-0009
ISSN: 0042-790X
WoS: 000356811500008
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84922605102
Collections
Institution/Community
GraFarTY - JOUR AU - Stojković, Milan AU - Prohaska, Stevan AU - Plavšić, Jasna PY - 2015 UR - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/702 AB - Water resource has become a guarantee for sustainable development on both local and global scales. Exploiting water resources involves development of hydrological models for water management planning. In this paper we present a new stochastic model for generation of mean annul flows. The model is based on historical characteristics of time series of annual flows and consists of the trend component, long-term periodic component and stochastic component. The rest of specified components are model errors which are represented as a random time series. The random time series is generated by the single bootstrap model (SBM). Stochastic ensemble of error terms at the single hydrological station is formed using the SBM method. The ultimate stochastic model gives solutions of annual flows and presents a useful tool for integrated river basin planning and water management studies. The model is applied for ten large European rivers with long observed period. Validation of model results suggests that the stochastic flows simulated by the model can be used for hydrological simulations in river basins. PB - Versita T2 - Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics T1 - Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers EP - 70 IS - 1 SP - 63 VL - 63 DO - 10.1515/johh-2015-0009 ER -
@article{ author = "Stojković, Milan and Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna", year = "2015", abstract = "Water resource has become a guarantee for sustainable development on both local and global scales. Exploiting water resources involves development of hydrological models for water management planning. In this paper we present a new stochastic model for generation of mean annul flows. The model is based on historical characteristics of time series of annual flows and consists of the trend component, long-term periodic component and stochastic component. The rest of specified components are model errors which are represented as a random time series. The random time series is generated by the single bootstrap model (SBM). Stochastic ensemble of error terms at the single hydrological station is formed using the SBM method. The ultimate stochastic model gives solutions of annual flows and presents a useful tool for integrated river basin planning and water management studies. The model is applied for ten large European rivers with long observed period. Validation of model results suggests that the stochastic flows simulated by the model can be used for hydrological simulations in river basins.", publisher = "Versita", journal = "Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics", title = "Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers", pages = "70-63", number = "1", volume = "63", doi = "10.1515/johh-2015-0009" }
Stojković, M., Prohaska, S.,& Plavšić, J.. (2015). Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers. in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics Versita., 63(1), 63-70. https://doi.org/10.1515/johh-2015-0009
Stojković M, Prohaska S, Plavšić J. Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers. in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics. 2015;63(1):63-70. doi:10.1515/johh-2015-0009 .
Stojković, Milan, Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, "Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers" in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 63, no. 1 (2015):63-70, https://doi.org/10.1515/johh-2015-0009 . .