Prohaska, Stevan

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  • Prohaska, Stevan (19)
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Author's Bibliography

Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na širem sektoru ušća reke Drine u reku Savu

Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna; Ćatović, Samir; Bartoš DIvac, Vladislava; Prohaska, Ognjen; Ilić, Aleksandra; Petković, Dejan

(2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Ćatović, Samir
AU  - Bartoš DIvac, Vladislava
AU  - Prohaska, Ognjen
AU  - Ilić, Aleksandra
AU  - Petković, Dejan
PY  - 2023
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3161
AB  - Ideja ovoga rada je da prikaže osnovne rezultate sprovedene sveobuhvatne analize malih voda Save i Drine u zoni ušća Drine. U radu se prikazuju kvantitativne karakteristike malih voda koje se najčešće koriste kao podloga pri projektovanju većine vodoprivrednih i hidrotehničkih objekata. Posebno je detaljno analizirana dužina malovodnih perioda ispod repernih protoka - protoka određenih za izabrana trajanja sa krivih trajanja srednjih dnevnih protoka. Primenjen je novi pristup koji, pored klasične probabilističke analize minimalnih godišnjih i minimalnih srednjih mesečnih protoka, obuhvata i analizu dužina neprekidnih malovodnih perioda sa protocima manjim od protoka karakterističih trajanja, njihovu unutargodišnju raspodelu i zastupljenost. Bazni podaci koji su korišćeni za proračun malih voda su zvanični podaci Državnog hidrometeorološkog zavoda Hrvatske iz Zagreba (DHMZ) i Republičkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda Srbije iz Beograda (RHMZ) na hidrološkim stanicama (HS) Županja i Sremska Mitrovica na reci Savi i Radalj na reci Drini.
T2  - Hrvatske vode
T1  - Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na širem sektoru ušća reke Drine u reku Savu
EP  - 54
IS  - 123
SP  - 37
VL  - 31
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_3161
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna and Ćatović, Samir and Bartoš DIvac, Vladislava and Prohaska, Ognjen and Ilić, Aleksandra and Petković, Dejan",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Ideja ovoga rada je da prikaže osnovne rezultate sprovedene sveobuhvatne analize malih voda Save i Drine u zoni ušća Drine. U radu se prikazuju kvantitativne karakteristike malih voda koje se najčešće koriste kao podloga pri projektovanju većine vodoprivrednih i hidrotehničkih objekata. Posebno je detaljno analizirana dužina malovodnih perioda ispod repernih protoka - protoka određenih za izabrana trajanja sa krivih trajanja srednjih dnevnih protoka. Primenjen je novi pristup koji, pored klasične probabilističke analize minimalnih godišnjih i minimalnih srednjih mesečnih protoka, obuhvata i analizu dužina neprekidnih malovodnih perioda sa protocima manjim od protoka karakterističih trajanja, njihovu unutargodišnju raspodelu i zastupljenost. Bazni podaci koji su korišćeni za proračun malih voda su zvanični podaci Državnog hidrometeorološkog zavoda Hrvatske iz Zagreba (DHMZ) i Republičkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda Srbije iz Beograda (RHMZ) na hidrološkim stanicama (HS) Županja i Sremska Mitrovica na reci Savi i Radalj na reci Drini.",
journal = "Hrvatske vode",
title = "Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na širem sektoru ušća reke Drine u reku Savu",
pages = "54-37",
number = "123",
volume = "31",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_3161"
}
Prohaska, S., Plavšić, J., Ćatović, S., Bartoš DIvac, V., Prohaska, O., Ilić, A.,& Petković, D.. (2023). Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na širem sektoru ušća reke Drine u reku Savu. in Hrvatske vode, 31(123), 37-54.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_3161
Prohaska S, Plavšić J, Ćatović S, Bartoš DIvac V, Prohaska O, Ilić A, Petković D. Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na širem sektoru ušća reke Drine u reku Savu. in Hrvatske vode. 2023;31(123):37-54.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_3161 .
Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, Ćatović, Samir, Bartoš DIvac, Vladislava, Prohaska, Ognjen, Ilić, Aleksandra, Petković, Dejan, "Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na širem sektoru ušća reke Drine u reku Savu" in Hrvatske vode, 31, no. 123 (2023):37-54,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_3161 .

Najnovija sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava

Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna; Ćatović, Samir; Bartoš Divac, Vladislava; Prohaska, Ognjen; Pavlović, Dragutin; Marjanović, Srđan; Ilić, Aleksandra

(Srpsko društvo za zaštitu voda, 2021)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Ćatović, Samir
AU  - Bartoš Divac, Vladislava
AU  - Prohaska, Ognjen
AU  - Pavlović, Dragutin
AU  - Marjanović, Srđan
AU  - Ilić, Aleksandra
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2442
AB  - Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda, koje se prikazuju u ovom radu, preuzete su iz nove
monografije „Prosečni proticaji i male vode na srednjim i malim slivovima Srbije”, čija je
izrada u toku, a koju zajednički realizuju Institut za vodoprivredu „Jaroslav Černi“ i
Republički hidrometeorološki zavod Srbije uz učešće Građevinskog fakulteta iz Beograda i
Građevinsko-arhitektonskog fakulteta iz Niša. Bazni podaci koji su korišćeni su zvanični
podaci Republičkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda sa 82 profila hidroloških stanica na srednjim
i malim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije, južno od Save i Dunava. Pri tome su korišćene sve
raspoložive vremenske serije srednjednevnih i minimalnih godišnjih protoka. Periodi obrade
su bili od početka rada određene hidrološke stanice do zaključno sa 2018. godinom.
PB  - Srpsko društvo za zaštitu voda
C3  - 50. konferencija o aktuelnim temama korišćenja i zaštite voda “Voda 2021”
T1  - Najnovija sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava
EP  - 56
SP  - 49
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2442
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna and Ćatović, Samir and Bartoš Divac, Vladislava and Prohaska, Ognjen and Pavlović, Dragutin and Marjanović, Srđan and Ilić, Aleksandra",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda, koje se prikazuju u ovom radu, preuzete su iz nove
monografije „Prosečni proticaji i male vode na srednjim i malim slivovima Srbije”, čija je
izrada u toku, a koju zajednički realizuju Institut za vodoprivredu „Jaroslav Černi“ i
Republički hidrometeorološki zavod Srbije uz učešće Građevinskog fakulteta iz Beograda i
Građevinsko-arhitektonskog fakulteta iz Niša. Bazni podaci koji su korišćeni su zvanični
podaci Republičkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda sa 82 profila hidroloških stanica na srednjim
i malim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije, južno od Save i Dunava. Pri tome su korišćene sve
raspoložive vremenske serije srednjednevnih i minimalnih godišnjih protoka. Periodi obrade
su bili od početka rada određene hidrološke stanice do zaključno sa 2018. godinom.",
publisher = "Srpsko društvo za zaštitu voda",
journal = "50. konferencija o aktuelnim temama korišćenja i zaštite voda “Voda 2021”",
title = "Najnovija sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava",
pages = "56-49",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2442"
}
Prohaska, S., Plavšić, J., Ćatović, S., Bartoš Divac, V., Prohaska, O., Pavlović, D., Marjanović, S.,& Ilić, A.. (2021). Najnovija sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava. in 50. konferencija o aktuelnim temama korišćenja i zaštite voda “Voda 2021”
Srpsko društvo za zaštitu voda., 49-56.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2442
Prohaska S, Plavšić J, Ćatović S, Bartoš Divac V, Prohaska O, Pavlović D, Marjanović S, Ilić A. Najnovija sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava. in 50. konferencija o aktuelnim temama korišćenja i zaštite voda “Voda 2021”. 2021;:49-56.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2442 .
Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, Ćatović, Samir, Bartoš Divac, Vladislava, Prohaska, Ognjen, Pavlović, Dragutin, Marjanović, Srđan, Ilić, Aleksandra, "Najnovija sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava" in 50. konferencija o aktuelnim temama korišćenja i zaštite voda “Voda 2021” (2021):49-56,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2442 .

Prostorni raspored osnovnih karakteristika malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije

Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna; Ćatović, Samir; Bartoš Divac, Vladislava; Prohaska, Ognjen; Ilić, Aleksandra; Marjanović, Srđan; Pavlović, Dragutin

(Univerzitet u Beogradu - Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2021., 2021)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Ćatović, Samir
AU  - Bartoš Divac, Vladislava
AU  - Prohaska, Ognjen
AU  - Ilić, Aleksandra
AU  - Marjanović, Srđan
AU  - Pavlović, Dragutin
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2606
AB  - Ideja ovoga rada je da prikaže prostorni raspored osnovnih karakteristika malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije kao podloga projektovanju većine vodoprivrednih i hidrotehničkih objekata. To se pre svega odnosi na prostorni prikaz modula oticaja minimalnih srednjih mesečnih protoka 95% obezbeđenosti i srednjih godišnjih protoka verovatnoće pojave 10% i trajanja malovodnih perioda ispod protoka karakterističnih trajanja. Navedene karakteristike malih voda preuzete se iz buduće monografije „Prosečni protoci i male vode na srednjim i malim slivovima Srbije”, čija je izrada u toku.
AB  - This paper presents the spatial distribution of basic characteristics of low flows on the territory of the Republic of Serbia as the basis for design of various water management systems and hydraulic engineering structures. Spatial representation of specific runoff for minimum annual mean monthly flows of 95% probability of exceedance, specific runoff for mean annual flows of 10% probability of non-exceedance, and duration of low flow below selected characteristic threshold values. These low flow characteristics are taken from the forthcoming monograph “Mean and low flows in small and medium watersheds in Serbia”, which is under preparation.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2021.
C3  - Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju
T1  - Prostorni raspored osnovnih karakteristika malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije
EP  - 64
SP  - 57
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2606
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna and Ćatović, Samir and Bartoš Divac, Vladislava and Prohaska, Ognjen and Ilić, Aleksandra and Marjanović, Srđan and Pavlović, Dragutin",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Ideja ovoga rada je da prikaže prostorni raspored osnovnih karakteristika malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije kao podloga projektovanju većine vodoprivrednih i hidrotehničkih objekata. To se pre svega odnosi na prostorni prikaz modula oticaja minimalnih srednjih mesečnih protoka 95% obezbeđenosti i srednjih godišnjih protoka verovatnoće pojave 10% i trajanja malovodnih perioda ispod protoka karakterističnih trajanja. Navedene karakteristike malih voda preuzete se iz buduće monografije „Prosečni protoci i male vode na srednjim i malim slivovima Srbije”, čija je izrada u toku., This paper presents the spatial distribution of basic characteristics of low flows on the territory of the Republic of Serbia as the basis for design of various water management systems and hydraulic engineering structures. Spatial representation of specific runoff for minimum annual mean monthly flows of 95% probability of exceedance, specific runoff for mean annual flows of 10% probability of non-exceedance, and duration of low flow below selected characteristic threshold values. These low flow characteristics are taken from the forthcoming monograph “Mean and low flows in small and medium watersheds in Serbia”, which is under preparation.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2021.",
journal = "Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju",
title = "Prostorni raspored osnovnih karakteristika malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije",
pages = "64-57",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2606"
}
Prohaska, S., Plavšić, J., Ćatović, S., Bartoš Divac, V., Prohaska, O., Ilić, A., Marjanović, S.,& Pavlović, D.. (2021). Prostorni raspored osnovnih karakteristika malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije. in Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2021.., 57-64.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2606
Prohaska S, Plavšić J, Ćatović S, Bartoš Divac V, Prohaska O, Ilić A, Marjanović S, Pavlović D. Prostorni raspored osnovnih karakteristika malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije. in Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju. 2021;:57-64.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2606 .
Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, Ćatović, Samir, Bartoš Divac, Vladislava, Prohaska, Ognjen, Ilić, Aleksandra, Marjanović, Srđan, Pavlović, Dragutin, "Prostorni raspored osnovnih karakteristika malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije" in Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju (2021):57-64,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2606 .

Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na srednjim i malim slivovima Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava

Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna; Ćatović, Samir; Bartoš Divac, Vladislava; Prohaska, Ognjen; Ilić, Aleksandra; Marjanović, Srđan; Pavlović, Dragutin

(2021)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Ćatović, Samir
AU  - Bartoš Divac, Vladislava
AU  - Prohaska, Ognjen
AU  - Ilić, Aleksandra
AU  - Marjanović, Srđan
AU  - Pavlović, Dragutin
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2468
AB  - Ideja ovoga rada je da prikaže osnovne rezultate sprovedene sveobuhvatne analize malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije, južno od Save i Dunava, preuzete iz buduće monografije „Proseĉni protoci i male vode na srednjim i malim slivovima Srbije”, ĉija je izrada u toku. Ovu monografiju zajedno realizuju Institut za vodoprivredu „Jaroslav Ĉerni” i Republiĉki hidrometeorološki zavod Srbije, uz uĉešće GraĊevinskog fakulteta iz Beograda i GraĊevinsko-arhitektonskog fakulteta iz Niša. U radu su prikazane kvantitativne karakteristike malih voda, koje se najĉešće koriste kao podloga u projektovanju većine vodoprivrednih i hidrotehniĉkih objekata, a pre svega za ocenu „minimalnog održivog protoka”, koji se po važećem Zakonu o vodama mora neprikosnoveno ostaviti u reci za potrebe održavanja biocenoze i zadovoljenje potreba nizvodnih korisnika. U konkretnom sluĉaju prikazuju se najbitniji rezultati ocene višegodišnjih proseka srednje godišnjeg protoka, krivih trajanja srednje dnevnih protoka i obezbeĊenosti minimalnih srednje meseĉnih protoka. Posebno su detaljno analizirani kvantitativni pokazatelji dužina malovodnih perioda ispod protoka sa odabranim trajanjem, odreĊenih sa krivih trajanja dnevnih protoka. Primenjen je novi prilaz koji obuhvata, pored klasiĉne probabilistiĉke analize minimalnih godišnjih i minimalnih srednjih meseĉnih protoka, i sveobuhvatnu analizu neprekidnih trajanja malih voda ispod protoka karakteristiĉnih trajanja, njihove unutargodišnje raspodele i procentualne zastupljenosti. Bazni podaci korišćeni pri izradi ove analize, zvaniĉni su podaci Republiĉkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda sa 82 profila hidroloških stanica na srednjim i malim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije, južno od Save i Dunava. Pri tome su korišćene sve raspoložive vremenske serije srednjednevnih i minimalnih godišnjih protoka. Periodi obrade su bili od poĉetka rada odreĊene hidrološke stanice, do zakljuĉno sa 2018. godinom.
AB  - This paper presents main results of a comprehensive analysis of low flows on the territory of the Republic of Serbia, south of the Sava and the Danube rivers. The results are a part of the forthcoming book on “Mean and low flows in small and medium watersheds in Serbia”, which is under development. The book is being produced jointly by the “Jaroslav Černi” Institute for Water Resources Management and Republic Hydrometeo¬ro¬logical Service of Serbia with participation of the University of Belgrade – Faculty of Civil Engineering and University of Niš – Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture. The analysis deals with the quantitative characteristics of low flows that are commonly used for design in various water management and hydraulic engineering projects, but are also a starting point in estimating the “minimum sustainable flow”, which is, according to the current Water Act, the minimum flow in the rivers needed for maintaining the biocenosis and for satisfying the demands of downstream users. The main outcomes of the comprehensive low flow analysis presented in this paper are the long-term mean flow, duration of daily flows and probability of exceedance of minimum mean monthly flows. Additionally, special attention is given to quantitative indices of length of intervals with flow below the specified thresholds, taken from the flow duration curve. A new approach applied includes, beside a classical statistical analysis of annual minima and mean monthly minima, a comprehensive analysis of continuous duration of low flows below the specified thresholds and their seasonal distribution. Basic data from 82 hydrological stations in small and medium-sized watersheds within Serbia south of the Danube and the Sava rivers are provided by Republic Hydromete-orological Service. All available data on daily and absolute annual minimum flows from the start of operation and 2018 are used in the analysis.
T2  - Vodoprivreda
T1  - Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na srednjim i malim slivovima Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava
EP  - 63
IS  - 309-310
SP  - 47
VL  - 53
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2468
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna and Ćatović, Samir and Bartoš Divac, Vladislava and Prohaska, Ognjen and Ilić, Aleksandra and Marjanović, Srđan and Pavlović, Dragutin",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Ideja ovoga rada je da prikaže osnovne rezultate sprovedene sveobuhvatne analize malih voda na teritoriji Republike Srbije, južno od Save i Dunava, preuzete iz buduće monografije „Proseĉni protoci i male vode na srednjim i malim slivovima Srbije”, ĉija je izrada u toku. Ovu monografiju zajedno realizuju Institut za vodoprivredu „Jaroslav Ĉerni” i Republiĉki hidrometeorološki zavod Srbije, uz uĉešće GraĊevinskog fakulteta iz Beograda i GraĊevinsko-arhitektonskog fakulteta iz Niša. U radu su prikazane kvantitativne karakteristike malih voda, koje se najĉešće koriste kao podloga u projektovanju većine vodoprivrednih i hidrotehniĉkih objekata, a pre svega za ocenu „minimalnog održivog protoka”, koji se po važećem Zakonu o vodama mora neprikosnoveno ostaviti u reci za potrebe održavanja biocenoze i zadovoljenje potreba nizvodnih korisnika. U konkretnom sluĉaju prikazuju se najbitniji rezultati ocene višegodišnjih proseka srednje godišnjeg protoka, krivih trajanja srednje dnevnih protoka i obezbeĊenosti minimalnih srednje meseĉnih protoka. Posebno su detaljno analizirani kvantitativni pokazatelji dužina malovodnih perioda ispod protoka sa odabranim trajanjem, odreĊenih sa krivih trajanja dnevnih protoka. Primenjen je novi prilaz koji obuhvata, pored klasiĉne probabilistiĉke analize minimalnih godišnjih i minimalnih srednjih meseĉnih protoka, i sveobuhvatnu analizu neprekidnih trajanja malih voda ispod protoka karakteristiĉnih trajanja, njihove unutargodišnje raspodele i procentualne zastupljenosti. Bazni podaci korišćeni pri izradi ove analize, zvaniĉni su podaci Republiĉkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda sa 82 profila hidroloških stanica na srednjim i malim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije, južno od Save i Dunava. Pri tome su korišćene sve raspoložive vremenske serije srednjednevnih i minimalnih godišnjih protoka. Periodi obrade su bili od poĉetka rada odreĊene hidrološke stanice, do zakljuĉno sa 2018. godinom., This paper presents main results of a comprehensive analysis of low flows on the territory of the Republic of Serbia, south of the Sava and the Danube rivers. The results are a part of the forthcoming book on “Mean and low flows in small and medium watersheds in Serbia”, which is under development. The book is being produced jointly by the “Jaroslav Černi” Institute for Water Resources Management and Republic Hydrometeo¬ro¬logical Service of Serbia with participation of the University of Belgrade – Faculty of Civil Engineering and University of Niš – Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture. The analysis deals with the quantitative characteristics of low flows that are commonly used for design in various water management and hydraulic engineering projects, but are also a starting point in estimating the “minimum sustainable flow”, which is, according to the current Water Act, the minimum flow in the rivers needed for maintaining the biocenosis and for satisfying the demands of downstream users. The main outcomes of the comprehensive low flow analysis presented in this paper are the long-term mean flow, duration of daily flows and probability of exceedance of minimum mean monthly flows. Additionally, special attention is given to quantitative indices of length of intervals with flow below the specified thresholds, taken from the flow duration curve. A new approach applied includes, beside a classical statistical analysis of annual minima and mean monthly minima, a comprehensive analysis of continuous duration of low flows below the specified thresholds and their seasonal distribution. Basic data from 82 hydrological stations in small and medium-sized watersheds within Serbia south of the Danube and the Sava rivers are provided by Republic Hydromete-orological Service. All available data on daily and absolute annual minimum flows from the start of operation and 2018 are used in the analysis.",
journal = "Vodoprivreda",
title = "Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na srednjim i malim slivovima Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava",
pages = "63-47",
number = "309-310",
volume = "53",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2468"
}
Prohaska, S., Plavšić, J., Ćatović, S., Bartoš Divac, V., Prohaska, O., Ilić, A., Marjanović, S.,& Pavlović, D.. (2021). Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na srednjim i malim slivovima Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava. in Vodoprivreda, 53(309-310), 47-63.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2468
Prohaska S, Plavšić J, Ćatović S, Bartoš Divac V, Prohaska O, Ilić A, Marjanović S, Pavlović D. Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na srednjim i malim slivovima Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava. in Vodoprivreda. 2021;53(309-310):47-63.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2468 .
Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, Ćatović, Samir, Bartoš Divac, Vladislava, Prohaska, Ognjen, Ilić, Aleksandra, Marjanović, Srđan, Pavlović, Dragutin, "Sveobuhvatna analiza malih voda na srednjim i malim slivovima Republike Srbije južno od Save i Dunava" in Vodoprivreda, 53, no. 309-310 (2021):47-63,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2468 .

Maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije

Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna; Ćatović, Samir; Bartoš Divac, Vladislava; Prohaska, Ognjen; Ilić, Aleksandra; Marjanović, Srđan; Pavlović, Dragutin

(Univerzitet u Beogradu - Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2021., 2021)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Ćatović, Samir
AU  - Bartoš Divac, Vladislava
AU  - Prohaska, Ognjen
AU  - Ilić, Aleksandra
AU  - Marjanović, Srđan
AU  - Pavlović, Dragutin
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2604
AB  - Maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda, koje se prikazuju u ovom radu, preuzeta su iz nove monografije „Prosečni protoci i male vode na srednjim i malim slivovima Srbije”, čija je izrada u toku, a koju zajednički realizuju Institut za vodoprivredu „Jaroslav Černi“ i Republički hidrometeorološki zavod Srbije uz učešće Građevinskog fakulteta iz Beograda i Građevinsko-arhitektonskog fakulteta iz Niša. Bazni podaci koji su korišćeni su zvanični podaci Republičkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda sa 82 profila hidroloških stanica na srednjim i malim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije južno od Save i Dunava. Pri tome su korišćene sve raspoložive vremenske serije srednjednevnih i minimalnih godišnjih protoka. Periodi obrade su bili od početka rada određene hidrološke stanice do zaključno sa 2018. godinom. U ovom radu daje se samo prikaz rezultata obrada jedne od osnovnih karakteristika malovodnih perioda, a to su maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda u funkciji repernih protoka i verovatnoće pojave, kao i njihova unutargodišnja zastupljenost. Prikazani su osrednjeni rezultati za razmatrane slivove i za celu teritoriju Republike Srbije.
AB  - Maximum low flow durations, presented in this paper, are taken from the new book on “Mean and low flows in small and medium watersheds in Serbia”, which is jointly under development by the “Jaroslav Černi” Institute for Water Resources Management and Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia with participation of the University of Belgrade – Faculty of Civil Engineering and University of Niš – Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture. Basic data from 82 hydrological stations in small and medium-sized watersheds within Serbia south of the Danube and the Sava rivers are provided by Republic Hydrometeorological Service. All available data on daily and absolute annual minimum flows from the start of operation and 2018 are used in the analysis. This paper presents a part of the results relating maximum low flow durations to characteristic thresholds and probability of occurrence, as well as their seasonal distribution. The results are averaged over individual watersheds and for the territory of Serbia.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2021.
C3  - Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju
T1  - Maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije
EP  - 456
SP  - 448
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2604
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna and Ćatović, Samir and Bartoš Divac, Vladislava and Prohaska, Ognjen and Ilić, Aleksandra and Marjanović, Srđan and Pavlović, Dragutin",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda, koje se prikazuju u ovom radu, preuzeta su iz nove monografije „Prosečni protoci i male vode na srednjim i malim slivovima Srbije”, čija je izrada u toku, a koju zajednički realizuju Institut za vodoprivredu „Jaroslav Černi“ i Republički hidrometeorološki zavod Srbije uz učešće Građevinskog fakulteta iz Beograda i Građevinsko-arhitektonskog fakulteta iz Niša. Bazni podaci koji su korišćeni su zvanični podaci Republičkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda sa 82 profila hidroloških stanica na srednjim i malim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije južno od Save i Dunava. Pri tome su korišćene sve raspoložive vremenske serije srednjednevnih i minimalnih godišnjih protoka. Periodi obrade su bili od početka rada određene hidrološke stanice do zaključno sa 2018. godinom. U ovom radu daje se samo prikaz rezultata obrada jedne od osnovnih karakteristika malovodnih perioda, a to su maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda u funkciji repernih protoka i verovatnoće pojave, kao i njihova unutargodišnja zastupljenost. Prikazani su osrednjeni rezultati za razmatrane slivove i za celu teritoriju Republike Srbije., Maximum low flow durations, presented in this paper, are taken from the new book on “Mean and low flows in small and medium watersheds in Serbia”, which is jointly under development by the “Jaroslav Černi” Institute for Water Resources Management and Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia with participation of the University of Belgrade – Faculty of Civil Engineering and University of Niš – Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture. Basic data from 82 hydrological stations in small and medium-sized watersheds within Serbia south of the Danube and the Sava rivers are provided by Republic Hydrometeorological Service. All available data on daily and absolute annual minimum flows from the start of operation and 2018 are used in the analysis. This paper presents a part of the results relating maximum low flow durations to characteristic thresholds and probability of occurrence, as well as their seasonal distribution. The results are averaged over individual watersheds and for the territory of Serbia.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2021.",
journal = "Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju",
title = "Maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije",
pages = "456-448",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2604"
}
Prohaska, S., Plavšić, J., Ćatović, S., Bartoš Divac, V., Prohaska, O., Ilić, A., Marjanović, S.,& Pavlović, D.. (2021). Maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije. in Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2021.., 448-456.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2604
Prohaska S, Plavšić J, Ćatović S, Bartoš Divac V, Prohaska O, Ilić A, Marjanović S, Pavlović D. Maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije. in Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju. 2021;:448-456.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2604 .
Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, Ćatović, Samir, Bartoš Divac, Vladislava, Prohaska, Ognjen, Ilić, Aleksandra, Marjanović, Srđan, Pavlović, Dragutin, "Maksimalna trajanja malovodnih perioda na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije" in Zbornik radova 19. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju (2021):448-456,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2604 .

Male vode na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije

Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna; Pavlović, Dragutin; Ćatović, Samir; Marjanović, Srđan; Bartoš Divac, Vladislava; Prohaska, Ognjen; Ilić, Aleksandra; Todorović, Andrijana

(Srpsko društvo za zaštitu voda, 2020)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Pavlović, Dragutin
AU  - Ćatović, Samir
AU  - Marjanović, Srđan
AU  - Bartoš Divac, Vladislava
AU  - Prohaska, Ognjen
AU  - Ilić, Aleksandra
AU  - Todorović, Andrijana
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2505
AB  - U radu se prikazuju rezultati statističke analize izabranih parametara malih voda na malim i srednjim slivovima u Srbiji nastali tokom izrade nove monografije „Prosečni protoci i male vode na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije”, koju zajednički realizuju Institut za vodoprivredu „Jaroslav Černi“ i Republički hidrometeorološki zavod Srbije uz učešće Građevinskog fakulteta iz Beograda i Građevinsko-arhitektonskog fakulteta iz Niša. Osnovna ideja je da se na odabranim srednjim i malim slivovima u Srbiji definišu osnovne kvantitativne karakteristike prosečnih protoka i malih voda. Bazni podaci koji su korišćeni su zvanični podaci Republičkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda sa 132 profila hidroloških stanica na srednjim i malim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije južno od Save i Dunava. Pri tome su korišćene sve raspoložive vremenske serije srednjednevnih i minimalnih godišnjih protoka. Periodi obrade su bili od početka rada određene hidrološke stanice do zaključno sa 2018. godinom.
U ovom radu dat je grafički prikaz rezultata obrade osnovnih karakteristika malih voda i to: minimalnih srednjemesečnih protoka verovatnoće pojave 95%, kao i minimalnih godišnjih protoka  verovatnoće pojave 1%.
AB  - The paper presents the results of the statistical analysis of selected low flow indicators in medium and small Serbian basins obtained withing the scope of a new monograph "Mean and low flows in medium and small basins of Serbia", which is being prepared jointly by the Water Institute "Jaroslav Cerni" and the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, with the participation of the Faculty of Civil Engineering of Belgrade and the Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture of Nis. The basic idea is to provide principal quantitative characteristics of mean and low flows in selected medium and small basins in Serbia. The data used in the analysis are the official data provided by the Republic Hydrometeorological Service at 132 stream gauges in medium and small basins in the territory of Serbia, south of the Sava and Danube Rivers. Thereby, all the available time series of mean daily and annual minimum flows were used. The processing periods are from when the certain gauging station started operating to the end of 2018.
This paper presents only the results of the basic low flow indicators, such as the minimum mean monthly flows of the 95% probability of exceedance, as well as the annual minimum flows of the 1% probability of non-exceedance.
PB  - Srpsko društvo za zaštitu voda
C3  - Voda 2020 : zbornik radova 49. godišnje konferencije o aktuelnim problemima korišćenja i zaštite voda, Trebinje, 19.-20. novembar 2020. / Water 2020 : Conference Proceedings 49th Annual Conference of the Serbian Water Pollution Control Society
T1  - Male vode na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije
EP  - 15
SP  - 9
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2505
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna and Pavlović, Dragutin and Ćatović, Samir and Marjanović, Srđan and Bartoš Divac, Vladislava and Prohaska, Ognjen and Ilić, Aleksandra and Todorović, Andrijana",
year = "2020",
abstract = "U radu se prikazuju rezultati statističke analize izabranih parametara malih voda na malim i srednjim slivovima u Srbiji nastali tokom izrade nove monografije „Prosečni protoci i male vode na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije”, koju zajednički realizuju Institut za vodoprivredu „Jaroslav Černi“ i Republički hidrometeorološki zavod Srbije uz učešće Građevinskog fakulteta iz Beograda i Građevinsko-arhitektonskog fakulteta iz Niša. Osnovna ideja je da se na odabranim srednjim i malim slivovima u Srbiji definišu osnovne kvantitativne karakteristike prosečnih protoka i malih voda. Bazni podaci koji su korišćeni su zvanični podaci Republičkog hidrometeorološkog zavoda sa 132 profila hidroloških stanica na srednjim i malim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije južno od Save i Dunava. Pri tome su korišćene sve raspoložive vremenske serije srednjednevnih i minimalnih godišnjih protoka. Periodi obrade su bili od početka rada određene hidrološke stanice do zaključno sa 2018. godinom.
U ovom radu dat je grafički prikaz rezultata obrade osnovnih karakteristika malih voda i to: minimalnih srednjemesečnih protoka verovatnoće pojave 95%, kao i minimalnih godišnjih protoka  verovatnoće pojave 1%., The paper presents the results of the statistical analysis of selected low flow indicators in medium and small Serbian basins obtained withing the scope of a new monograph "Mean and low flows in medium and small basins of Serbia", which is being prepared jointly by the Water Institute "Jaroslav Cerni" and the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, with the participation of the Faculty of Civil Engineering of Belgrade and the Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture of Nis. The basic idea is to provide principal quantitative characteristics of mean and low flows in selected medium and small basins in Serbia. The data used in the analysis are the official data provided by the Republic Hydrometeorological Service at 132 stream gauges in medium and small basins in the territory of Serbia, south of the Sava and Danube Rivers. Thereby, all the available time series of mean daily and annual minimum flows were used. The processing periods are from when the certain gauging station started operating to the end of 2018.
This paper presents only the results of the basic low flow indicators, such as the minimum mean monthly flows of the 95% probability of exceedance, as well as the annual minimum flows of the 1% probability of non-exceedance.",
publisher = "Srpsko društvo za zaštitu voda",
journal = "Voda 2020 : zbornik radova 49. godišnje konferencije o aktuelnim problemima korišćenja i zaštite voda, Trebinje, 19.-20. novembar 2020. / Water 2020 : Conference Proceedings 49th Annual Conference of the Serbian Water Pollution Control Society",
title = "Male vode na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije",
pages = "15-9",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2505"
}
Prohaska, S., Plavšić, J., Pavlović, D., Ćatović, S., Marjanović, S., Bartoš Divac, V., Prohaska, O., Ilić, A.,& Todorović, A.. (2020). Male vode na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije. in Voda 2020 : zbornik radova 49. godišnje konferencije o aktuelnim problemima korišćenja i zaštite voda, Trebinje, 19.-20. novembar 2020. / Water 2020 : Conference Proceedings 49th Annual Conference of the Serbian Water Pollution Control Society
Srpsko društvo za zaštitu voda., 9-15.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2505
Prohaska S, Plavšić J, Pavlović D, Ćatović S, Marjanović S, Bartoš Divac V, Prohaska O, Ilić A, Todorović A. Male vode na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije. in Voda 2020 : zbornik radova 49. godišnje konferencije o aktuelnim problemima korišćenja i zaštite voda, Trebinje, 19.-20. novembar 2020. / Water 2020 : Conference Proceedings 49th Annual Conference of the Serbian Water Pollution Control Society. 2020;:9-15.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2505 .
Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, Pavlović, Dragutin, Ćatović, Samir, Marjanović, Srđan, Bartoš Divac, Vladislava, Prohaska, Ognjen, Ilić, Aleksandra, Todorović, Andrijana, "Male vode na malim i srednjim slivovima Srbije" in Voda 2020 : zbornik radova 49. godišnje konferencije o aktuelnim problemima korišćenja i zaštite voda, Trebinje, 19.-20. novembar 2020. / Water 2020 : Conference Proceedings 49th Annual Conference of the Serbian Water Pollution Control Society (2020):9-15,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2505 .

Кartiranje parametra metode Langbajna za proračun srednjih voda na neizučenim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije

Prohaska, Ognjen; Plavšić, Jasna; Prohaska, Stevan; Todorović, Andrijana

(2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Prohaska, Ognjen
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Todorović, Andrijana
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2227
AB  - U radu se razmatra određivanje srednjih voda na malim neizučenim slivovima u okviru teritorije Republike Srbije, na kojima ne postoje hidrološki podaci o mere-nim protocima. Razmatrana je metoda Langbajna u kojoj je formulisan parametar Θ čija vrednost u originalnoj formuli iznosi Θ = 0,886. Kao ulazni podaci u metodi Langbajna u ovom radu korišćene su prosečne višegodišnje padavine i temperature preuzete sa digitalnog repozitorijuma CarpatClim. U proračun su uključene 82 merne stanice na kojima postoje podaci o merenim protocima, a detaljnijom analizom broj stanica je smanjen na 71. Primenom metode Langbajna sa originalnim pa-rametrom Θ, utvrđeno je neslaganje između osmotrenih srednjih protoka i računskih srednjih protoka na razma-tranim stanicama. Nakon toga izvršeno je tariranje para-metra Θ za svaku stanicu tako da računate srednje vode odgovaraju osmotrenim. Dobijene vrednosti parametra Θ su kartirane kako bi te karte poslužile za očitavanje parametra Θ na neizučenim slivovima. Ispitano je više metoda za interpolaciju karata kako bi se dobilo najbolje rešenje koje će dati najrealnije rezultate pri korišćenju karata za neizučene slivove. Utvrđeno je da se najtačniji rezultati dobijaju za interpolaciju Tisenovim poligonima (Nearest Neighbour) i metodom recipročnih rastojanja na deseti stepen (IDW 10). Krajnja verifikacija ocena parametra Θ izvršena je tako što su izabrane kontrolne stanice koje su isključene iz interpolacije, nakon čega su napravljene nove karte. Na osnovu dobijenih rezultata zaključeno je da su karte dobijene obema metodama interpolacije prihvatljive za ocenu parametra Θ, uz dodatni oprez na područjima sa karstom.
T2  - Vodoprivreda
T1  - Кartiranje parametra metode Langbajna za proračun srednjih voda na neizučenim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije
EP  - 109
SP  - 99
VL  - 50
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2227
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Prohaska, Ognjen and Plavšić, Jasna and Prohaska, Stevan and Todorović, Andrijana",
year = "2019",
abstract = "U radu se razmatra određivanje srednjih voda na malim neizučenim slivovima u okviru teritorije Republike Srbije, na kojima ne postoje hidrološki podaci o mere-nim protocima. Razmatrana je metoda Langbajna u kojoj je formulisan parametar Θ čija vrednost u originalnoj formuli iznosi Θ = 0,886. Kao ulazni podaci u metodi Langbajna u ovom radu korišćene su prosečne višegodišnje padavine i temperature preuzete sa digitalnog repozitorijuma CarpatClim. U proračun su uključene 82 merne stanice na kojima postoje podaci o merenim protocima, a detaljnijom analizom broj stanica je smanjen na 71. Primenom metode Langbajna sa originalnim pa-rametrom Θ, utvrđeno je neslaganje između osmotrenih srednjih protoka i računskih srednjih protoka na razma-tranim stanicama. Nakon toga izvršeno je tariranje para-metra Θ za svaku stanicu tako da računate srednje vode odgovaraju osmotrenim. Dobijene vrednosti parametra Θ su kartirane kako bi te karte poslužile za očitavanje parametra Θ na neizučenim slivovima. Ispitano je više metoda za interpolaciju karata kako bi se dobilo najbolje rešenje koje će dati najrealnije rezultate pri korišćenju karata za neizučene slivove. Utvrđeno je da se najtačniji rezultati dobijaju za interpolaciju Tisenovim poligonima (Nearest Neighbour) i metodom recipročnih rastojanja na deseti stepen (IDW 10). Krajnja verifikacija ocena parametra Θ izvršena je tako što su izabrane kontrolne stanice koje su isključene iz interpolacije, nakon čega su napravljene nove karte. Na osnovu dobijenih rezultata zaključeno je da su karte dobijene obema metodama interpolacije prihvatljive za ocenu parametra Θ, uz dodatni oprez na područjima sa karstom.",
journal = "Vodoprivreda",
title = "Кartiranje parametra metode Langbajna za proračun srednjih voda na neizučenim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije",
pages = "109-99",
volume = "50",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2227"
}
Prohaska, O., Plavšić, J., Prohaska, S.,& Todorović, A.. (2019). Кartiranje parametra metode Langbajna za proračun srednjih voda na neizučenim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije. in Vodoprivreda, 50, 99-109.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2227
Prohaska O, Plavšić J, Prohaska S, Todorović A. Кartiranje parametra metode Langbajna za proračun srednjih voda na neizučenim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije. in Vodoprivreda. 2019;50:99-109.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2227 .
Prohaska, Ognjen, Plavšić, Jasna, Prohaska, Stevan, Todorović, Andrijana, "Кartiranje parametra metode Langbajna za proračun srednjih voda na neizučenim slivovima na teritoriji Srbije" in Vodoprivreda, 50 (2019):99-109,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_2227 .

A two-stage time series model for monthly hydrological projections under climate change in the Lim River basin (southeast Europe)

Stojković, MIlan; Plavšić, Jasna; Prohaska, Stevan; Pavlović, Dragutin; Despotović, Jovan

(Taylor & Francis, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojković, MIlan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Pavlović, Dragutin
AU  - Despotović, Jovan
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2019.1699241
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1823
AB  - Climate change projections of precipitation and temperature suggest that Serbia could be one of the most affected regions in Southeast Europe. To prepare adaptation measures, the climate changes impact on water resources needs to be assessed. Pilot research is carried out for the Lim River basin to predict monthly flows under different climate scenarios. For estimation of future water availability, an alternative approach of developing a deterministic-stochastic time series model is chosen. The proposed two-stage time series model consists of several components: trend, long-term periodicity, seasonality and the stochastic component. The last one is based on a transfer function model with two input variables, precipitation and temperature, as climatic drivers. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency for the observed period 1950-2012 is 0.829. The model is applied for the long-term hydrological prediction under the RCP emissions scenarios for the future time frame 2013-2070.
PB  - Taylor & Francis
T2  - Hydrological Sciences Journal
T1  - A two-stage time series model for monthly hydrological projections under climate change in the Lim River basin (southeast Europe)
DO  - 10.1080/02626667.2019.1699241
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojković, MIlan and Plavšić, Jasna and Prohaska, Stevan and Pavlović, Dragutin and Despotović, Jovan",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Climate change projections of precipitation and temperature suggest that Serbia could be one of the most affected regions in Southeast Europe. To prepare adaptation measures, the climate changes impact on water resources needs to be assessed. Pilot research is carried out for the Lim River basin to predict monthly flows under different climate scenarios. For estimation of future water availability, an alternative approach of developing a deterministic-stochastic time series model is chosen. The proposed two-stage time series model consists of several components: trend, long-term periodicity, seasonality and the stochastic component. The last one is based on a transfer function model with two input variables, precipitation and temperature, as climatic drivers. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency for the observed period 1950-2012 is 0.829. The model is applied for the long-term hydrological prediction under the RCP emissions scenarios for the future time frame 2013-2070.",
publisher = "Taylor & Francis",
journal = "Hydrological Sciences Journal",
title = "A two-stage time series model for monthly hydrological projections under climate change in the Lim River basin (southeast Europe)",
doi = "10.1080/02626667.2019.1699241"
}
Stojković, M., Plavšić, J., Prohaska, S., Pavlović, D.,& Despotović, J.. (2019). A two-stage time series model for monthly hydrological projections under climate change in the Lim River basin (southeast Europe). in Hydrological Sciences Journal
Taylor & Francis..
https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2019.1699241
Stojković M, Plavšić J, Prohaska S, Pavlović D, Despotović J. A two-stage time series model for monthly hydrological projections under climate change in the Lim River basin (southeast Europe). in Hydrological Sciences Journal. 2019;.
doi:10.1080/02626667.2019.1699241 .
Stojković, MIlan, Plavšić, Jasna, Prohaska, Stevan, Pavlović, Dragutin, Despotović, Jovan, "A two-stage time series model for monthly hydrological projections under climate change in the Lim River basin (southeast Europe)" in Hydrological Sciences Journal (2019),
https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2019.1699241 . .
4
1
4

A joint stochastic-deterministic approach for long-term and short-term modelling of monthly flow rates

Stojković, Milan; Kostić, Srđan; Plavšić, Jasna; Prohaska, Stevan

(Elsevier B.V., 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojković, Milan
AU  - Kostić, Srđan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/855
AB  - The authors present a detailed procedure for modelling of mean monthly flow time-series using records of the Great Morava River (Serbia). The proposed procedure overcomes a major challenge of other available methods by disaggregating the time series in order to capture the main properties of the hydrologic process in both long-run and short-run, The main assumption of the conducted research is that a time series of monthly flow rates represents a stochastic process comprised of deterministic, stochastic and random components, the former of which can be further decomposed into a composite trend and two periodic components (short-term or seasonal periodicity and long-term or multi-annual periodicity). In the present paper, the deterministic component of a monthly flow time-series is assessed by spectral analysis, whereas its stochastic component is modelled using cross-correlation transfer functions, artificial neural networks and polynomial regression. The results suggest that the deterministic component can be expressed solely as a function of time, whereas the stochastic component changes as a nonlinear function of climatic factors (rainfall and temperature). For the calibration period, the results of the analysis infers a lower value of Kling-Gupta Efficiency in the case of transfer functions (0.736), whereas artificial neural networks and polynomial regression suggest a significantly better match between the observed and simulated values, 0.841 and 0.891, respectively. It seems that transfer functions fail to capture high monthly flow rates, whereas the model based on polynomial regression reproduces high monthly flows much better because it is able to successfully capture a highly nonlinear relationship between the inputs and the output. The proposed methodology that uses a combination of artificial neural networks, spectral analysis and polynomial regression for deterministic and stochastic components can be applied to forecast monthly or seasonal flow rates.
PB  - Elsevier B.V.
T2  - Journal of Hydrology
T1  - A joint stochastic-deterministic approach for long-term and short-term modelling of monthly flow rates
EP  - 566
SP  - 555
VL  - 544
DO  - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.11.025
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojković, Milan and Kostić, Srđan and Plavšić, Jasna and Prohaska, Stevan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The authors present a detailed procedure for modelling of mean monthly flow time-series using records of the Great Morava River (Serbia). The proposed procedure overcomes a major challenge of other available methods by disaggregating the time series in order to capture the main properties of the hydrologic process in both long-run and short-run, The main assumption of the conducted research is that a time series of monthly flow rates represents a stochastic process comprised of deterministic, stochastic and random components, the former of which can be further decomposed into a composite trend and two periodic components (short-term or seasonal periodicity and long-term or multi-annual periodicity). In the present paper, the deterministic component of a monthly flow time-series is assessed by spectral analysis, whereas its stochastic component is modelled using cross-correlation transfer functions, artificial neural networks and polynomial regression. The results suggest that the deterministic component can be expressed solely as a function of time, whereas the stochastic component changes as a nonlinear function of climatic factors (rainfall and temperature). For the calibration period, the results of the analysis infers a lower value of Kling-Gupta Efficiency in the case of transfer functions (0.736), whereas artificial neural networks and polynomial regression suggest a significantly better match between the observed and simulated values, 0.841 and 0.891, respectively. It seems that transfer functions fail to capture high monthly flow rates, whereas the model based on polynomial regression reproduces high monthly flows much better because it is able to successfully capture a highly nonlinear relationship between the inputs and the output. The proposed methodology that uses a combination of artificial neural networks, spectral analysis and polynomial regression for deterministic and stochastic components can be applied to forecast monthly or seasonal flow rates.",
publisher = "Elsevier B.V.",
journal = "Journal of Hydrology",
title = "A joint stochastic-deterministic approach for long-term and short-term modelling of monthly flow rates",
pages = "566-555",
volume = "544",
doi = "10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.11.025"
}
Stojković, M., Kostić, S., Plavšić, J.,& Prohaska, S.. (2017). A joint stochastic-deterministic approach for long-term and short-term modelling of monthly flow rates. in Journal of Hydrology
Elsevier B.V.., 544, 555-566.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.11.025
Stojković M, Kostić S, Plavšić J, Prohaska S. A joint stochastic-deterministic approach for long-term and short-term modelling of monthly flow rates. in Journal of Hydrology. 2017;544:555-566.
doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.11.025 .
Stojković, Milan, Kostić, Srđan, Plavšić, Jasna, Prohaska, Stevan, "A joint stochastic-deterministic approach for long-term and short-term modelling of monthly flow rates" in Journal of Hydrology, 544 (2017):555-566,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.11.025 . .
1
18
8
18

A New Approach for Trend Assessment of Annual Streamflows: a Case Study of Hydropower Plants in Serbia

Stojković, Milan; Kostić, Srđan; Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna; Tripković, Vesna

(Springer Netherlands, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojković, Milan
AU  - Kostić, Srđan
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Tripković, Vesna
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/835
AB  - The authors propose a new approach for trend assessment that takes into account long-term periodicity of annual flows. In particular, analysis is performed of annual flows recorded at the locations of 30 operating and designed hydropower plants (HPPs) in Serbia, in order to assess the current and future water availability for hydropower generation. The composite annual trend is determined by sliding a fixed time window of 30 years along the observed time series with a one-year time step. Such a linear moving window (LMW) approach enables the identification of the flow trend as a median of all values for each time step. Significant trend harmonics are determined using discrete spectral analysis. The results show an alternation of upward and downward trend phases of different durations, namely: 6787, 33-43 and 21-29 years. On the other hand, the results of the Mann-Kendall test indicate a monotonic downward trend at the studied sites in the Drina River Basin, while statistically insignificant trends are noted at other river basins. The Mann-Kendall test with the Theil-Sen estimator also implies a downward and statistically insignificant flow trend after the observed period, whereas the LMW approach indicates a probable trend increase at all the examined sites. The proposed approach can be used to predict annual flows in order to establish long-term water management plans at hydropower plants.
PB  - Springer Netherlands
T2  - Water Resources Management
T1  - A New Approach for Trend Assessment of Annual Streamflows: a Case Study of Hydropower Plants in Serbia
EP  - 1103
IS  - 4
SP  - 1089
VL  - 31
DO  - 10.1007/s11269-017-1583-z
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojković, Milan and Kostić, Srđan and Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna and Tripković, Vesna",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The authors propose a new approach for trend assessment that takes into account long-term periodicity of annual flows. In particular, analysis is performed of annual flows recorded at the locations of 30 operating and designed hydropower plants (HPPs) in Serbia, in order to assess the current and future water availability for hydropower generation. The composite annual trend is determined by sliding a fixed time window of 30 years along the observed time series with a one-year time step. Such a linear moving window (LMW) approach enables the identification of the flow trend as a median of all values for each time step. Significant trend harmonics are determined using discrete spectral analysis. The results show an alternation of upward and downward trend phases of different durations, namely: 6787, 33-43 and 21-29 years. On the other hand, the results of the Mann-Kendall test indicate a monotonic downward trend at the studied sites in the Drina River Basin, while statistically insignificant trends are noted at other river basins. The Mann-Kendall test with the Theil-Sen estimator also implies a downward and statistically insignificant flow trend after the observed period, whereas the LMW approach indicates a probable trend increase at all the examined sites. The proposed approach can be used to predict annual flows in order to establish long-term water management plans at hydropower plants.",
publisher = "Springer Netherlands",
journal = "Water Resources Management",
title = "A New Approach for Trend Assessment of Annual Streamflows: a Case Study of Hydropower Plants in Serbia",
pages = "1103-1089",
number = "4",
volume = "31",
doi = "10.1007/s11269-017-1583-z"
}
Stojković, M., Kostić, S., Prohaska, S., Plavšić, J.,& Tripković, V.. (2017). A New Approach for Trend Assessment of Annual Streamflows: a Case Study of Hydropower Plants in Serbia. in Water Resources Management
Springer Netherlands., 31(4), 1089-1103.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1583-z
Stojković M, Kostić S, Prohaska S, Plavšić J, Tripković V. A New Approach for Trend Assessment of Annual Streamflows: a Case Study of Hydropower Plants in Serbia. in Water Resources Management. 2017;31(4):1089-1103.
doi:10.1007/s11269-017-1583-z .
Stojković, Milan, Kostić, Srđan, Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, Tripković, Vesna, "A New Approach for Trend Assessment of Annual Streamflows: a Case Study of Hydropower Plants in Serbia" in Water Resources Management, 31, no. 4 (2017):1089-1103,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1583-z . .
1
12
6
11

Annual and seasonal discharge prediction in the middle Danube River basin based on a modified TIPS (Tendency, Intermittency, Periodicity, Stochasticity) methodology

Stojković, Milan; Plavšić, Jasna; Prohaska, Stevan

(De Gruyter Open Ltd, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojković, Milan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/832
AB  - The short-term predictions of annual and seasonal discharge derived by a modified TIPS (Tendency, Intermittency, Periodicity and Stochasticity) methodology are presented in this paper. The TIPS method (Yevjevich, 1984) is modified in such a way that annual time scale is used instead of daily. The reason of extracting a seasonal component from discharge time series represents an attempt to identify the long-term stochastic behaviour. The methodology is applied for modelling annual discharges at six gauging stations in the middle Danube River basin using the observed data in the common period from 1931 to 2012. The model performance measures suggest that the modelled time series are matched reasonably well. The model is then used for the short-time predictions for three annual step ahead (2013-2015). The annual discharge predictions of larger river basins for moderate hydrological conditions show reasonable matching with records expressed as the relative error from -8% to +3%. Irrespective of this, wet and dry periods for the aforementioned river basins show significant departures from annual observations. Also, the smaller river basins display greater deviations up to 26% of the observed annual discharges, whereas the accuracy of annual predictions do not strictly depend on the prevailing hydrological conditions.
PB  - De Gruyter Open Ltd
T2  - Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
T1  - Annual and seasonal discharge prediction in the middle Danube River basin based on a modified TIPS (Tendency, Intermittency, Periodicity, Stochasticity) methodology
EP  - 174
IS  - 2
SP  - 165
VL  - 65
DO  - 10.1515/johh-2017-0012
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojković, Milan and Plavšić, Jasna and Prohaska, Stevan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The short-term predictions of annual and seasonal discharge derived by a modified TIPS (Tendency, Intermittency, Periodicity and Stochasticity) methodology are presented in this paper. The TIPS method (Yevjevich, 1984) is modified in such a way that annual time scale is used instead of daily. The reason of extracting a seasonal component from discharge time series represents an attempt to identify the long-term stochastic behaviour. The methodology is applied for modelling annual discharges at six gauging stations in the middle Danube River basin using the observed data in the common period from 1931 to 2012. The model performance measures suggest that the modelled time series are matched reasonably well. The model is then used for the short-time predictions for three annual step ahead (2013-2015). The annual discharge predictions of larger river basins for moderate hydrological conditions show reasonable matching with records expressed as the relative error from -8% to +3%. Irrespective of this, wet and dry periods for the aforementioned river basins show significant departures from annual observations. Also, the smaller river basins display greater deviations up to 26% of the observed annual discharges, whereas the accuracy of annual predictions do not strictly depend on the prevailing hydrological conditions.",
publisher = "De Gruyter Open Ltd",
journal = "Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics",
title = "Annual and seasonal discharge prediction in the middle Danube River basin based on a modified TIPS (Tendency, Intermittency, Periodicity, Stochasticity) methodology",
pages = "174-165",
number = "2",
volume = "65",
doi = "10.1515/johh-2017-0012"
}
Stojković, M., Plavšić, J.,& Prohaska, S.. (2017). Annual and seasonal discharge prediction in the middle Danube River basin based on a modified TIPS (Tendency, Intermittency, Periodicity, Stochasticity) methodology. in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
De Gruyter Open Ltd., 65(2), 165-174.
https://doi.org/10.1515/johh-2017-0012
Stojković M, Plavšić J, Prohaska S. Annual and seasonal discharge prediction in the middle Danube River basin based on a modified TIPS (Tendency, Intermittency, Periodicity, Stochasticity) methodology. in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics. 2017;65(2):165-174.
doi:10.1515/johh-2017-0012 .
Stojković, Milan, Plavšić, Jasna, Prohaska, Stevan, "Annual and seasonal discharge prediction in the middle Danube River basin based on a modified TIPS (Tendency, Intermittency, Periodicity, Stochasticity) methodology" in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 65, no. 2 (2017):165-174,
https://doi.org/10.1515/johh-2017-0012 . .
5
3
4

Novi metodološki okvir SDTS za dugoročne projekcije mesečnih proticaja u uslovima klimatskih promena

Stojković, M.; Plavšić, Jasna; Prohaska, Stevan; Despotović, Jovan; Pavlović, Dragutin

(Univerzitet u Beogradu, Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2016)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Stojković, M.
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Despotović, Jovan
AU  - Pavlović, Dragutin
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1457
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu, Građevinski fakultet, Beograd
C3  - Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015.
T1  - Novi metodološki okvir SDTS za dugoročne projekcije mesečnih proticaja u uslovima klimatskih promena
EP  - 379
SP  - 369
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1457
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Stojković, M. and Plavšić, Jasna and Prohaska, Stevan and Despotović, Jovan and Pavlović, Dragutin",
year = "2016",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu, Građevinski fakultet, Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015.",
title = "Novi metodološki okvir SDTS za dugoročne projekcije mesečnih proticaja u uslovima klimatskih promena",
pages = "379-369",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1457"
}
Stojković, M., Plavšić, J., Prohaska, S., Despotović, J.,& Pavlović, D.. (2016). Novi metodološki okvir SDTS za dugoročne projekcije mesečnih proticaja u uslovima klimatskih promena. in Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015.
Univerzitet u Beogradu, Građevinski fakultet, Beograd., 369-379.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1457
Stojković M, Plavšić J, Prohaska S, Despotović J, Pavlović D. Novi metodološki okvir SDTS za dugoročne projekcije mesečnih proticaja u uslovima klimatskih promena. in Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015.. 2016;:369-379.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1457 .
Stojković, M., Plavšić, Jasna, Prohaska, Stevan, Despotović, Jovan, Pavlović, Dragutin, "Novi metodološki okvir SDTS za dugoročne projekcije mesečnih proticaja u uslovima klimatskih promena" in Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015. (2016):369-379,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1457 .

Primena modifikovane TIPS metode za dugoročne projekcije serija srednje godišnjih proticaja

Stojković, M.; Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna

(Univerzitet u Beogradu, Građevinski fakultet, Beograd, 2016)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Stojković, M.
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1499
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu, Građevinski fakultet, Beograd
C3  - Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015.
T1  - Primena modifikovane TIPS metode za dugoročne projekcije serija srednje godišnjih proticaja
EP  - 922
SP  - 915
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1499
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Stojković, M. and Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna",
year = "2016",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu, Građevinski fakultet, Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015.",
title = "Primena modifikovane TIPS metode za dugoročne projekcije serija srednje godišnjih proticaja",
pages = "922-915",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1499"
}
Stojković, M., Prohaska, S.,& Plavšić, J.. (2016). Primena modifikovane TIPS metode za dugoročne projekcije serija srednje godišnjih proticaja. in Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015.
Univerzitet u Beogradu, Građevinski fakultet, Beograd., 915-922.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1499
Stojković M, Prohaska S, Plavšić J. Primena modifikovane TIPS metode za dugoročne projekcije serija srednje godišnjih proticaja. in Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015.. 2016;:915-922.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1499 .
Stojković, M., Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, "Primena modifikovane TIPS metode za dugoročne projekcije serija srednje godišnjih proticaja" in Zbornik radova 17. naučnog savetovanja Srpskog društva za hidraulička istraživanja i Srpskog društva za hidrologiju, Vršac, 5-6. oktobar 2015. (2016):915-922,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1499 .

Long-term Hydrological Projection of Monthly Flows in Terms of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy

Stojković, M.; Plavšić, Jasna; Despotović, Jovan; Prohaska, Stevan

(Belgrade, 2015)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Stojković, M.
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Despotović, Jovan
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1292
PB  - Belgrade
C3  - Proceedings of the IWA 7th Eastern European Young Water Professionals Conference, Belgrade, Serbia, 17-19 September
T1  - Long-term Hydrological Projection of Monthly Flows in Terms of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy
EP  - 225
SP  - 216
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1292
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Stojković, M. and Plavšić, Jasna and Despotović, Jovan and Prohaska, Stevan",
year = "2015",
publisher = "Belgrade",
journal = "Proceedings of the IWA 7th Eastern European Young Water Professionals Conference, Belgrade, Serbia, 17-19 September",
title = "Long-term Hydrological Projection of Monthly Flows in Terms of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy",
pages = "225-216",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1292"
}
Stojković, M., Plavšić, J., Despotović, J.,& Prohaska, S.. (2015). Long-term Hydrological Projection of Monthly Flows in Terms of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy. in Proceedings of the IWA 7th Eastern European Young Water Professionals Conference, Belgrade, Serbia, 17-19 September
Belgrade., 216-225.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1292
Stojković M, Plavšić J, Despotović J, Prohaska S. Long-term Hydrological Projection of Monthly Flows in Terms of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy. in Proceedings of the IWA 7th Eastern European Young Water Professionals Conference, Belgrade, Serbia, 17-19 September. 2015;:216-225.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1292 .
Stojković, M., Plavšić, Jasna, Despotović, Jovan, Prohaska, Stevan, "Long-term Hydrological Projection of Monthly Flows in Terms of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy" in Proceedings of the IWA 7th Eastern European Young Water Professionals Conference, Belgrade, Serbia, 17-19 September (2015):216-225,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_1292 .

Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers

Stojković, Milan; Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna

(Versita, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojković, Milan
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/702
AB  - Water resource has become a guarantee for sustainable development on both local and global scales. Exploiting water resources involves development of hydrological models for water management planning. In this paper we present a new stochastic model for generation of mean annul flows. The model is based on historical characteristics of time series of annual flows and consists of the trend component, long-term periodic component and stochastic component. The rest of specified components are model errors which are represented as a random time series. The random time series is generated by the single bootstrap model (SBM). Stochastic ensemble of error terms at the single hydrological station is formed using the SBM method. The ultimate stochastic model gives solutions of annual flows and presents a useful tool for integrated river basin planning and water management studies. The model is applied for ten large European rivers with long observed period. Validation of model results suggests that the stochastic flows simulated by the model can be used for hydrological simulations in river basins.
PB  - Versita
T2  - Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
T1  - Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers
EP  - 70
IS  - 1
SP  - 63
VL  - 63
DO  - 10.1515/johh-2015-0009
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojković, Milan and Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Water resource has become a guarantee for sustainable development on both local and global scales. Exploiting water resources involves development of hydrological models for water management planning. In this paper we present a new stochastic model for generation of mean annul flows. The model is based on historical characteristics of time series of annual flows and consists of the trend component, long-term periodic component and stochastic component. The rest of specified components are model errors which are represented as a random time series. The random time series is generated by the single bootstrap model (SBM). Stochastic ensemble of error terms at the single hydrological station is formed using the SBM method. The ultimate stochastic model gives solutions of annual flows and presents a useful tool for integrated river basin planning and water management studies. The model is applied for ten large European rivers with long observed period. Validation of model results suggests that the stochastic flows simulated by the model can be used for hydrological simulations in river basins.",
publisher = "Versita",
journal = "Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics",
title = "Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers",
pages = "70-63",
number = "1",
volume = "63",
doi = "10.1515/johh-2015-0009"
}
Stojković, M., Prohaska, S.,& Plavšić, J.. (2015). Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers. in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
Versita., 63(1), 63-70.
https://doi.org/10.1515/johh-2015-0009
Stojković M, Prohaska S, Plavšić J. Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers. in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics. 2015;63(1):63-70.
doi:10.1515/johh-2015-0009 .
Stojković, Milan, Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, "Stochastic structure of annual discharges of large European rivers" in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 63, no. 1 (2015):63-70,
https://doi.org/10.1515/johh-2015-0009 . .
14
9
15

Internal stochastic structure of annual discharge time series of Serbia’s large rivers

Stojković, Milan; Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna

(Serbian Water Pollution Control Society, Belgrade, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojković, Milan
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/642
AB  - The internal structure of hydrologic processes is discussed in the paper. Time series of mean annual river discharges are assessed to determine their stationarity, trend and periodicity. The time series of annual discharges are determined to be non-stationary. The trend varies in different time segments, with changing trend intensity and direction. Hurst analysis shows that the time series of annual discharges have a long memory. Long-term periodicity of annual time series is considered, while macroperiods are determined and classified into four groups of mean values: 9.5, 13.5, 22.5 and 31.5 years. Secondary microperiodicity is found to exist in the interval from 3.6 to 4.9 years.
PB  - Serbian Water Pollution Control Society, Belgrade
T2  - Water research and management
T1  - Internal stochastic structure of annual discharge time series of Serbia’s large rivers
EP  - 13
IS  - 2
SP  - 3
VL  - 4
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_642
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojković, Milan and Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna",
year = "2014",
abstract = "The internal structure of hydrologic processes is discussed in the paper. Time series of mean annual river discharges are assessed to determine their stationarity, trend and periodicity. The time series of annual discharges are determined to be non-stationary. The trend varies in different time segments, with changing trend intensity and direction. Hurst analysis shows that the time series of annual discharges have a long memory. Long-term periodicity of annual time series is considered, while macroperiods are determined and classified into four groups of mean values: 9.5, 13.5, 22.5 and 31.5 years. Secondary microperiodicity is found to exist in the interval from 3.6 to 4.9 years.",
publisher = "Serbian Water Pollution Control Society, Belgrade",
journal = "Water research and management",
title = "Internal stochastic structure of annual discharge time series of Serbia’s large rivers",
pages = "13-3",
number = "2",
volume = "4",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_642"
}
Stojković, M., Prohaska, S.,& Plavšić, J.. (2014). Internal stochastic structure of annual discharge time series of Serbia’s large rivers. in Water research and management
Serbian Water Pollution Control Society, Belgrade., 4(2), 3-13.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_642
Stojković M, Prohaska S, Plavšić J. Internal stochastic structure of annual discharge time series of Serbia’s large rivers. in Water research and management. 2014;4(2):3-13.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_642 .
Stojković, Milan, Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, "Internal stochastic structure of annual discharge time series of Serbia’s large rivers" in Water research and management, 4, no. 2 (2014):3-13,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_642 .

Multi-Temporal Analysis of Mean Annual and Seasonal Stream Flow Trends, Including Periodicity and Multiple Non-Linear Regression

Stojković, Milan; Ilić, Aleksandra; Prohaska, Stevan; Plavšić, Jasna

(Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojković, Milan
AU  - Ilić, Aleksandra
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/601
AB  - Global warming affects the hydrological cycle and the long-term water budget of river basins. Flow variations have been noticed in the Danube River Basin, especially in its south-western parts where a downward trend in mean annual flows has been prevalent in the past several decades. Time series of mean annual and seasonal flows of the Sava River at hydrological stations Sremska Mitrovica and Zagreb are analysed in this paper. The trend is assessed with the Mann-Kendall test including the effect of serial correlation. Additionally, the trends are assessed in the multi-temporal framework. It is concluded that the long-term periodicity of annual flows has a considerable impact on the time series trend. Long-term component with cycles of 40 years in mean annual flows are detected by the time series analysis in frequency domain. Regression analysis showed a significant correlation between mean annual flows of the Sava River and annual precipitation, mean annual atmospheric pressure and air temperatures at meteorological station Ljubljana, as well as with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index.
PB  - Kluwer Academic Publishers
T2  - Water Resources Management
T1  - Multi-Temporal Analysis of Mean Annual and Seasonal Stream Flow Trends, Including Periodicity and Multiple Non-Linear Regression
EP  - 4335
IS  - 12
SP  - 4319
VL  - 28
DO  - 10.1007/s11269-014-0753-5
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojković, Milan and Ilić, Aleksandra and Prohaska, Stevan and Plavšić, Jasna",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Global warming affects the hydrological cycle and the long-term water budget of river basins. Flow variations have been noticed in the Danube River Basin, especially in its south-western parts where a downward trend in mean annual flows has been prevalent in the past several decades. Time series of mean annual and seasonal flows of the Sava River at hydrological stations Sremska Mitrovica and Zagreb are analysed in this paper. The trend is assessed with the Mann-Kendall test including the effect of serial correlation. Additionally, the trends are assessed in the multi-temporal framework. It is concluded that the long-term periodicity of annual flows has a considerable impact on the time series trend. Long-term component with cycles of 40 years in mean annual flows are detected by the time series analysis in frequency domain. Regression analysis showed a significant correlation between mean annual flows of the Sava River and annual precipitation, mean annual atmospheric pressure and air temperatures at meteorological station Ljubljana, as well as with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index.",
publisher = "Kluwer Academic Publishers",
journal = "Water Resources Management",
title = "Multi-Temporal Analysis of Mean Annual and Seasonal Stream Flow Trends, Including Periodicity and Multiple Non-Linear Regression",
pages = "4335-4319",
number = "12",
volume = "28",
doi = "10.1007/s11269-014-0753-5"
}
Stojković, M., Ilić, A., Prohaska, S.,& Plavšić, J.. (2014). Multi-Temporal Analysis of Mean Annual and Seasonal Stream Flow Trends, Including Periodicity and Multiple Non-Linear Regression. in Water Resources Management
Kluwer Academic Publishers., 28(12), 4319-4335.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0753-5
Stojković M, Ilić A, Prohaska S, Plavšić J. Multi-Temporal Analysis of Mean Annual and Seasonal Stream Flow Trends, Including Periodicity and Multiple Non-Linear Regression. in Water Resources Management. 2014;28(12):4319-4335.
doi:10.1007/s11269-014-0753-5 .
Stojković, Milan, Ilić, Aleksandra, Prohaska, Stevan, Plavšić, Jasna, "Multi-Temporal Analysis of Mean Annual and Seasonal Stream Flow Trends, Including Periodicity and Multiple Non-Linear Regression" in Water Resources Management, 28, no. 12 (2014):4319-4335,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0753-5 . .
21
19
21

Long-term changes of annual and seasonal flows: A case of the Sava River

Stojković, Milan; Plavšić, Jasna; Prohaska, Stevan

(Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojković, Milan
AU  - Plavšić, Jasna
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/572
AB  - This paper investigates the long-term changes in the hydrological time series. For this purpose, we use the trend analysis. The trend analysis is performed by using the standard Mann-Kendall trend test and by using the multi-temporal approach. The analysis is applied to the standardized and averaged time series of seasonal and annual flow of the river Sava at the stations Zagreb and Sremska Mitrovica for period from 1926 to 2005. It is concluded that the trend of seasonal and annual flow series of the Sava River are downward. The trends of annual flows in the region (Danube, Velika Morava, Lim) confirm this general pattern according to which the trends of annual flows in south-eastern Europe are downward. The multi-temporal analysis shows that the trend direction and intensity in the sub-series change with the long-term periodicity. The changes in trend direction and intensity depend on the length of the sub-series and the position of the sub-series within the whole time series.
AB  - U ovom radu analizirane su dugoročne promene u vremenskim serijama oticaja. Razmatrano je prisustvo trenda i višegodišnjih vodnih i sušnih ciklusa. Analiza trenda vršena je standardnim Mann-Kendall testom, a pored toga trend je analiziran korišćenjem tzv. multi-vremenskog pristupa u kojoj se trendovi računaju za podserije različitih početaka i dužina. Analiza je sprovedena na standardizovanim i osrednjenim serijama sezonskih i godišnjih proticaja na reci Savi na stanicama Zagreb i Sremska Mitrovica za period 1926-2005. Kada se posmatra ceo period, zaključuje se da je trend sezonskih i godišnjih proticaja na reci Savi opadajući. Trendovi godišnjih proticaja u širem području (Dunav, Velika Morava, Lim) su u skladu sa ovim rezultatima, dok reka Tisa poseduje rastuće trendove godišnjih proticaja. Multivremenskom analizom pokazano je da se trend razlikuje za različite podserije. Na smer i nagib trenda vremenskih serija utiče dužina serije kao i položaj podserije unutar cele serije. Promena smera i nagiba trenda ima ciklični karakter što odgovara smenama višegodišnjih vodnih i sušnih perioda.
PB  - Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd
T2  - Vodoprivreda
T1  - Long-term changes of annual and seasonal flows: A case of the Sava River
T1  - Dugoročne promene godišnjih i sezonskih proticaja - primer reke Save
EP  - 48
IS  - 1-6
SP  - 39
VL  - 46
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_572
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojković, Milan and Plavšić, Jasna and Prohaska, Stevan",
year = "2014",
abstract = "This paper investigates the long-term changes in the hydrological time series. For this purpose, we use the trend analysis. The trend analysis is performed by using the standard Mann-Kendall trend test and by using the multi-temporal approach. The analysis is applied to the standardized and averaged time series of seasonal and annual flow of the river Sava at the stations Zagreb and Sremska Mitrovica for period from 1926 to 2005. It is concluded that the trend of seasonal and annual flow series of the Sava River are downward. The trends of annual flows in the region (Danube, Velika Morava, Lim) confirm this general pattern according to which the trends of annual flows in south-eastern Europe are downward. The multi-temporal analysis shows that the trend direction and intensity in the sub-series change with the long-term periodicity. The changes in trend direction and intensity depend on the length of the sub-series and the position of the sub-series within the whole time series., U ovom radu analizirane su dugoročne promene u vremenskim serijama oticaja. Razmatrano je prisustvo trenda i višegodišnjih vodnih i sušnih ciklusa. Analiza trenda vršena je standardnim Mann-Kendall testom, a pored toga trend je analiziran korišćenjem tzv. multi-vremenskog pristupa u kojoj se trendovi računaju za podserije različitih početaka i dužina. Analiza je sprovedena na standardizovanim i osrednjenim serijama sezonskih i godišnjih proticaja na reci Savi na stanicama Zagreb i Sremska Mitrovica za period 1926-2005. Kada se posmatra ceo period, zaključuje se da je trend sezonskih i godišnjih proticaja na reci Savi opadajući. Trendovi godišnjih proticaja u širem području (Dunav, Velika Morava, Lim) su u skladu sa ovim rezultatima, dok reka Tisa poseduje rastuće trendove godišnjih proticaja. Multivremenskom analizom pokazano je da se trend razlikuje za različite podserije. Na smer i nagib trenda vremenskih serija utiče dužina serije kao i položaj podserije unutar cele serije. Promena smera i nagiba trenda ima ciklični karakter što odgovara smenama višegodišnjih vodnih i sušnih perioda.",
publisher = "Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd",
journal = "Vodoprivreda",
title = "Long-term changes of annual and seasonal flows: A case of the Sava River, Dugoročne promene godišnjih i sezonskih proticaja - primer reke Save",
pages = "48-39",
number = "1-6",
volume = "46",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_572"
}
Stojković, M., Plavšić, J.,& Prohaska, S.. (2014). Long-term changes of annual and seasonal flows: A case of the Sava River. in Vodoprivreda
Jugoslovensko društvo za odvodnjavanje i navodnjavanje, Beograd., 46(1-6), 39-48.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_572
Stojković M, Plavšić J, Prohaska S. Long-term changes of annual and seasonal flows: A case of the Sava River. in Vodoprivreda. 2014;46(1-6):39-48.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_572 .
Stojković, Milan, Plavšić, Jasna, Prohaska, Stevan, "Long-term changes of annual and seasonal flows: A case of the Sava River" in Vodoprivreda, 46, no. 1-6 (2014):39-48,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_grafar_572 .

A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows

Makropoulos, C.; Koutsoyiannis, D.; Stanić, Miloš; Đorđević, Slobodan; Prodanović, Dušan; Dašić, Tina; Prohaska, Stevan; Maksimović, Čedo; Wheater, H.

(2008)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Makropoulos, C.
AU  - Koutsoyiannis, D.
AU  - Stanić, Miloš
AU  - Đorđević, Slobodan
AU  - Prodanović, Dušan
AU  - Dašić, Tina
AU  - Prohaska, Stevan
AU  - Maksimović, Čedo
AU  - Wheater, H.
PY  - 2008
UR  - https://grafar.grf.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/192
AB  - The possible effects of water transfer through a tunnel from Fatnicko Polje to Bile a Reservoir on the hydrologic regime of the Bregava River located. in Eastern Herzegovina, in an area characterised by a predominantly karstic terrain, are studied. Three different simulation models of the area were developed and their predictions compared under a range of current and future hydrological and operational management conditions. These are based on a range of modelling approaches from a simplified conceptual approach to a quasi-physically based one. Despite the large complexity of the natural system, the models gave good fits to existing flow data with the most simplified model providing the closest agreement to historical flows. Calibrated models were used to study the possible effects of the intervention under a range of operational scenarios and identify the sources of the associated uncertainties. The results of the work suggest that the system of tunnels in question has a favourable effect in reducing flood hazard in the area, thus liberating scarce land resources for agriculture, and in reducing flows in the Bregava River (especially high flows). It is also suggested that a significant reduction in the uncertainty of modelling the karstic environment can be achieved by an appropriate, complementary combination of modelling approaches viewed as a multi-model ensemble.
T2  - Journal of Hydrology
T1  - A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows
EP  - 424
IS  - 3-4
SP  - 412
VL  - 348
DO  - 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Makropoulos, C. and Koutsoyiannis, D. and Stanić, Miloš and Đorđević, Slobodan and Prodanović, Dušan and Dašić, Tina and Prohaska, Stevan and Maksimović, Čedo and Wheater, H.",
year = "2008",
abstract = "The possible effects of water transfer through a tunnel from Fatnicko Polje to Bile a Reservoir on the hydrologic regime of the Bregava River located. in Eastern Herzegovina, in an area characterised by a predominantly karstic terrain, are studied. Three different simulation models of the area were developed and their predictions compared under a range of current and future hydrological and operational management conditions. These are based on a range of modelling approaches from a simplified conceptual approach to a quasi-physically based one. Despite the large complexity of the natural system, the models gave good fits to existing flow data with the most simplified model providing the closest agreement to historical flows. Calibrated models were used to study the possible effects of the intervention under a range of operational scenarios and identify the sources of the associated uncertainties. The results of the work suggest that the system of tunnels in question has a favourable effect in reducing flood hazard in the area, thus liberating scarce land resources for agriculture, and in reducing flows in the Bregava River (especially high flows). It is also suggested that a significant reduction in the uncertainty of modelling the karstic environment can be achieved by an appropriate, complementary combination of modelling approaches viewed as a multi-model ensemble.",
journal = "Journal of Hydrology",
title = "A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows",
pages = "424-412",
number = "3-4",
volume = "348",
doi = "10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011"
}
Makropoulos, C., Koutsoyiannis, D., Stanić, M., Đorđević, S., Prodanović, D., Dašić, T., Prohaska, S., Maksimović, Č.,& Wheater, H.. (2008). A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows. in Journal of Hydrology, 348(3-4), 412-424.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011
Makropoulos C, Koutsoyiannis D, Stanić M, Đorđević S, Prodanović D, Dašić T, Prohaska S, Maksimović Č, Wheater H. A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows. in Journal of Hydrology. 2008;348(3-4):412-424.
doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011 .
Makropoulos, C., Koutsoyiannis, D., Stanić, Miloš, Đorđević, Slobodan, Prodanović, Dušan, Dašić, Tina, Prohaska, Stevan, Maksimović, Čedo, Wheater, H., "A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows" in Journal of Hydrology, 348, no. 3-4 (2008):412-424,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011 . .
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